NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	83		Excitement	5.5 [719]		MVP	James Johnson (TOR): +13.7%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	2.3 [934]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (LAL): -13.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Kelly	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.02	-0.07	8	44%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	13	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jabari Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Robert Sacre	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	12	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	37%	-0.05	1	-0.04	11	45%	-0.08
Jeremy Lin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	15	53%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	10	71%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	13	62%	0.15	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	12	68%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.04	-0.03	10	23%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.0	28.5	15.7	27.3	1.8	27.6	127.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.7%

TOR +6.5%

LAL -14.2%

TOR +11.1%

LAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.1	92.2	105.6	104.2
season	15.5	15.6		101.9	109.1
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.9	16.7	18.4	14.2	16.5
TOR	15.9	13.1	17.6	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	57	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-12	13	16.4	16.6	-0.17	16.4	14.4	1.98
Wesley Johnson	57	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-8	5	16.5	16.3	0.21	16.1	14.9	1.27
Tarik Black	39	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-3	-5	17.6	15.6	2.07	16.5	15.0	1.53
Robert Sacre	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-8	5	16.0	17.0	-1.00	15.1	16.3	-1.18
Jeremy Lin	68	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-12	13	15.6	19.2	-3.65	16.4	13.5	2.86
Jabari Brown	33	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	16.3	16.5	-0.21	14.9	16.1	-1.27
Jordan Clarkson	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	17.1	15.0	2.11	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Ed Davis	36	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	1	-13	15.9	16.8	-0.92	14.3	16.6	-2.28
Wayne Ellington	51	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	4	-19	16.8	16.0	0.87	15.0	16.7	-1.71

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	51	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	0	11	15.3	16.3	-1.01	14.9	18.5	-3.61
Patrick Patterson	42	44	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	1	9	15.5	15.9	-0.35	16.0	16.9	-0.96
DeMar DeRozan	73	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	1	9	16.4	12.5	3.91	16.6	15.9	0.64
Lou Williams	55	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	5	1	15.0	16.8	-1.76	15.1	18.7	-3.55
Greivis Vasquez	46	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	1	9	15.3	16.2	-0.93	18.6	14.1	4.46
Tyler Hansbrough	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	8	-5	16.2	15.5	0.69	13.8	17.7	-3.89
Jonas Valanciunas	51	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	11	-11	15.6	15.9	-0.28	17.1	15.6	1.52
Amir Johnson	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	2	7	15.7	15.7	0.02	17.6	14.5	3.08
Terrence Ross	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	11	-11	16.3	15.3	1.01	18.5	14.9	3.61
Bruno Caboclo	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	17.2	15.6	1.61	5.3	16.9	-11.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIN 87, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.5%
PHX 77, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.5%