NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	6.8 [478]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +35.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.3 [943]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -23.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	12	67%	0.29	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Erick Dampier	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.03	7	88%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07	0.01	0.10	0.04	20	52%	0.15	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.10
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	19	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36	0.35	0.22	0.20	0.06	16	91%	0.53	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	10	56%	0.10	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Conroy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.08	4	-0.16	1	0%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	3	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.06	0.06	11	41%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	0.00	17	32%	-0.14	2	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	28.4	15.8	25.2	1.7	39.9	141.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +4.9%

DAL +16.8%

DAL +10.6%

DAL +18.4%

MEM -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.4	104.4	104.4	104.5
season	16.3	15.1		108.7	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.2		110.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	17.8	18.8	15.4	16.8
MEM	17.5	14.1	12.5	15.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	63	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-7	15	17.2	16.0	1.23	16.1	12.8	3.31
Jerry Stackhouse	54	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.53	0	1	-1	16.9	16.7	0.19	14.0	16.4	-2.41
Dirk Nowitzki	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	2	-3	16.3	18.3	-2.05	15.6	13.3	2.34
Devin Harris	52	53	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	-4	9	16.1	17.8	-1.67	15.6	14.1	1.51
Devean George	39	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	-2	5	15.9	17.5	-1.60	16.6	13.7	2.87
Jason Terry	67	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	0	1	17.1	16.1	0.93	14.9	15.2	-0.23
Anthony Johnson	15	14	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-4	9	15.8	17.0	-1.21	14.1	15.2	-1.10
Austin Croshere	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	-1	3	18.3	16.3	2.05	13.3	15.6	-2.34
DeSagana Diop	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	4	-7	17.1	16.7	0.37	12.7	15.9	-3.21
Greg Buckner	49	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.23	-15	16	-31	17.6	15.9	1.64	14.3	15.8	-1.51

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	57	59	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.29	18	-19	37	14.1	16.6	-2.54	17.5	15.6	1.83
Will Conroy	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-2	3	10.8	15.2	-4.45	12.2	17.1	-4.88
Chucky Atkins	54	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.42	13	-14	27	13.6	17.1	-3.56	16.3	17.6	-1.28
Rudy Gay	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-12	23	13.5	16.6	-3.12	17.2	16.4	0.75
Lawrence Roberts	41	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-1	1	14.5	15.4	-0.99	15.6	17.9	-2.34
Mike Miller	79	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-3	5	15.1	14.0	1.14	16.9	16.3	0.58
Alexander Johnson	19	18	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	2	-5	15.1	15.0	0.13	19.6	16.1	3.42
Damon Stoudamire	38	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	12	-25	16.8	13.7	3.05	17.2	16.5	0.64
Dahntay Jones	47	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	16	-33	16.9	12.9	4.01	17.1	16.5	0.63
Pau Gasol	63	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.22	-17	16	-33	16.2	12.3	3.86	16.3	18.0	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.39,0.28,0.29,0.01,0	93.7%
MIN 102, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.02,0,0	93.1%
MIA 87, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.15,0	92.8%