NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	87		Excitement	7.4 [342]		MVP	Robert Horry (PHX): +20.2%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	1.2 [552]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -32.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	8	87%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Danilovic	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	9	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Voshon Lenard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Pinckney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.03	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	15	44%	0.12	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Keith Askins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Alonzo Mourning	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	15	54%	0.07	7	-0.15	7	57%	-0.00
Gary Grant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.24,-0.32	-0.21	-0.14	-0.03	17	32%	-0.09	5	-0.23	4	100%	0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.00	5	80%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Person	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	45%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	54%	-0.03	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	10	23%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	12	45%	-0.04	3	-0.14	9	100%	0.05
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	4	62%	-0.09	5	-0.15	8	100%	0.06
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.28	-0.28	-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	16	29%	-0.23	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	27.2	15.6	30.1	2.6	42.3	147.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +52.0%

PHX -9.4%

MIA +24.4%

PHX -21.9%

MIA +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.6	96.7	89.4	104.4
season	15.8	14.6		103.1	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.3		106.5	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	18.6	15.8	18.7	14.7	16.8
PHX	15.0	16.9	13.4	13.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	48	52	0.72	-0.21	0.93	0.42	10	-7	17	15.7	18.1	-2.39	15.4	13.4	2.00
Sasha Danilovic	50	53	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.44	4	-1	5	15.8	18.1	-2.30	14.6	14.4	0.13
Tim Hardaway	70	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	1	1	16.4	18.5	-2.19	14.8	13.5	1.27
Dan Majerle	90	94	0.51	0.00	0.51	0.42	3	0	3	16.8	0.0	16.84	14.5	0.0	14.51
Keith Askins	45	45	0.27	0.24	0.03	0.33	-2	5	-7	16.1	17.6	-1.42	13.6	15.3	-1.66
Gary Grant	25	26	0.10	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-2	7	18.5	16.2	2.26	13.3	15.0	-1.72
Alonzo Mourning	63	66	0.03	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	4	-5	18.0	14.1	3.96	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Ike Austin	15	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.03	2	1	1	18.1	16.6	1.47	13.4	14.7	-1.27
Voshon Lenard	8	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	16.7	16.9	-0.10	15.6	14.4	1.16
Ed Pinckney	36	38	-0.13	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	8	-13	17.9	16.1	1.74	14.9	14.2	0.64

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Kleine	43	40	0.20	-0.71	0.91	-0.15	12	-15	27	14.9	14.2	0.77	18.3	15.7	2.66
Wesley Person	6	6	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	20.3	14.1	6.22	19.2	16.7	2.49
Danny Manning	67	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.45	10	-13	23	13.5	17.0	-3.54	17.3	15.8	1.52
Steve Nash	19	18	-0.21	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	3	-9	16.7	13.9	2.79	17.0	16.8	0.19
Sam Cassell	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.48	7	-10	17	13.3	15.4	-2.09	16.5	17.1	-0.55
Kevin Johnson	79	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-7	11	13.9	17.7	-3.83	16.7	17.4	-0.67
A.C. Green	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	13	-29	15.4	13.9	1.57	16.7	16.9	-0.19
Michael Finley	56	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	11	-25	15.2	13.5	1.65	17.4	16.0	1.41
Rex Chapman	73	70	-0.44	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	2	-7	14.2	15.5	-1.30	16.7	17.2	-0.52
Robert Horry	51	49	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	14.8	14.1	0.73	14.8	19.3	-4.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.01,0	93.5%
SEA 103, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	93.0%
SEA 99, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.08,0	93.0%