NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	99		Excitement	7.0 [426]		MVP	Chuck Person (SEA): +16.3%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	1.1 [326]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -18.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.11	0.00	7	64%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	11	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	7	61%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Vernon Maxwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	59%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	0%	-0.09
Gary Payton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	23	49%	0.02	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04
Vin Baker	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	16	28%	-0.14	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	10	75%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	18	59%	0.11	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.04	0.05	11	65%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	17	50%	-0.00	4	-0.14	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.5	25.4	16.6	21.2	1.8	33.6	121.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +24.6%

SAS -18.0%

SEA +15.4%

SEA +23.1%

SEA +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.2	108.8	106.7	101.7
season	14.9	15.5		103.5	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		95.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.2	17.1	16.5	16.6	16.3
SAS	15.5	15.6	16.2	14.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuck Person	32	32	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-7	17	17.5	15.7	1.85	16.5	14.9	1.57
Gary Payton	87	86	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	0	3	15.9	24.7	-8.81	15.5	14.2	1.30
Greg Foster	35	38	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-9	21	16.8	16.0	0.76	16.1	15.1	0.98
Horace Grant	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	15.4	20.2	-4.73	15.5	15.4	0.06
Brent Barry	75	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	8	-13	16.5	15.3	1.23	14.8	18.2	-3.39
Vernon Maxwell	10	11	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	-5	13	14.2	16.6	-2.39	17.8	15.2	2.65
Vin Baker	73	68	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.38	-9	12	-21	17.0	13.6	3.39	15.2	16.5	-1.34
Rashard Lewis	6	6	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	3	-3	17.2	16.3	0.90	19.0	15.2	3.76
Ruben Patterson	48	48	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	5	-7	16.3	16.3	-0.04	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Emanual Davis	15	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	8	-13	16.1	16.4	-0.31	14.1	15.7	-1.68

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-7	11	12.1	16.2	-4.03	12.1	17.2	-5.10
Mario Elie	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-4	5	15.2	15.9	-0.66	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Jaren Jackson	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	5	-13	16.5	15.1	1.38	16.2	16.4	-0.11
David Robinson	76	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-6	9	15.4	16.2	-0.86	16.0	18.1	-2.04
Avery Johnson	66	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-1	-1	15.9	14.3	1.63	17.3	13.7	3.62
Antonio Daniels	22	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	1	-5	15.3	15.6	-0.29	15.3	16.6	-1.36
Terry Porter	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-7	11	15.5	15.4	0.10	16.8	15.6	1.24
Jerome Kersey	33	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	1	-5	15.9	15.2	0.66	16.8	16.0	0.79
Malik Rose	22	22	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	5	-13	16.8	15.1	1.70	18.5	15.6	2.86
Tim Duncan	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	15.3	17.7	-2.48	16.0	19.1	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	93.2%
MIA 87, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.15,0	93.0%
PHX 104, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.16,0.09,0	92.8%