NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	108		Excitement	7.5 [364]		MVP	Will Barton (DEN): +28.2%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.2 [580]		LVP	Mike Scott (WAS): -10.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.28	0.15	0.17	0.04	12	72%	0.32	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Torrey Craig	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	5	92%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	21	57%	0.25	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.01	10	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	20	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	11	58%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	6	58%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	92%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	15	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.10	0.03	18	67%	0.08	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	0.2	28.3	19.4	24.5	1.8	34.2	133.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +29.9%

DEN +11.4%

WAS -2.1%

DEN +10.2%

DEN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	WAS	NBA	DEN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.7	111.3	105.3	107.5
season	14.7	14.8		111.2	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.3	15.5	17.7	12.2	15.4
WAS	16.2	13.9	15.0	13.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Murray	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-5	18	16.0	13.6	2.39	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Nikola Jokic	71	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	16.4	12.8	3.56	15.2	12.7	2.52
Devin Harris	60	58	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	14.2	17.3	-3.09	14.3	15.1	-0.78
Wilson Chandler	81	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	15.7	14.1	1.54	14.4	15.4	-0.91
Will Barton	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	2	4	15.3	15.7	-0.43	15.1	13.2	1.93
Torrey Craig	47	42	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	9	-10	12.3	18.4	-6.08	13.3	15.6	-2.28
Mason Plumlee	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	8	-8	14.5	15.9	-1.41	14.7	14.5	0.14
Paul Millsap	47	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	18.1	12.9	5.19	15.0	14.2	0.77

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	51	52	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-13	18	14.3	14.9	-0.57	16.3	14.4	1.85
Jodie Meeks	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-9	10	13.5	14.9	-1.39	13.2	16.2	-2.98
Ramon Sessions	33	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-4	0	14.4	14.7	-0.24	14.0	16.2	-2.21
Marcin Gortat	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-7	6	15.2	13.9	1.27	18.3	12.3	6.00
Mike Scott	25	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	14.7	14.5	0.19	13.4	16.2	-2.77
Markieff Morris	70	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-7	6	14.6	14.5	0.08	16.3	13.1	3.14
Ian Mahinmi	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	2	-12	14.6	14.6	0.04	12.7	16.5	-3.79
Bradley Beal	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	14.7	14.2	0.53	16.0	13.0	2.98
Otto Porter Jr.	62	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	14.6	14.6	0.00	16.0	14.3	1.72
Kelly Oubre Jr.	57	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	4	-16	14.6	14.6	-0.04	13.7	18.1	-4.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.39,0.28,0.29,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	93.7%
SAC 89, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.15,0	92.2%
DAL 94, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.05,0	92.0%