NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	7.6 [303]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +12.5%
Houston Rockets	84		Comeback	1.5 [762]		LVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): -35.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	9	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	17	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	19	53%	-0.01	4	-0.09	7	86%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	11	32%	-0.16	1	-0.05	3	0%	-0.09

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terence Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	10	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	16	47%	-0.04	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	6	29%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.08	-0.27	-0.00	19	43%	-0.27	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	27.2	19.4	25.3	2.7	34.2	134.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +55.4%

HOU -9.1%

HOU -12.8%

SAC +16.1%

SAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	16.7	15.6	96.7	89.4	102.3
season	14.2	16.8		106.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		106.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	11.8	16.2	14.8	14.2
HOU	17.0	17.5	15.1	17.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	35	37	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-7	19	14.1	14.3	-0.20	16.6	16.8	-0.13
Peja Stojakovic	86	87	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	14.6	9.5	5.07	17.0	13.0	4.00
Scot Pollard	62	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	-2	9	13.5	15.7	-2.12	17.3	15.4	1.86
Bobby Jackson	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	-1	7	14.1	14.3	-0.18	16.8	16.6	0.19
Vlade Divac	75	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	8	-11	14.2	14.4	-0.21	16.5	17.7	-1.26
Lawrence Funderburke	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	-1	7	16.3	12.5	3.72	17.3	16.2	1.06
Mike Bibby	57	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	6	-7	13.8	15.0	-1.23	16.1	17.8	-1.75
Doug Christie	65	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	9	-13	13.7	15.4	-1.71	16.2	17.8	-1.63

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oscar Torres	73	71	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-11	17	16.6	17.1	-0.51	14.5	13.2	1.36
Tierre Brown	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-7	9	16.2	16.7	-0.57	11.8	14.4	-2.57
Terence Morris	13	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	17.6	16.6	1.06	12.0	14.6	-2.58
Kelvin Cato	67	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-8	11	16.1	18.2	-2.08	14.3	14.0	0.28
Eddie Griffin	16	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	3	-11	18.7	16.3	2.39	15.8	13.9	1.86
Kenny Thomas	78	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-8	11	16.3	18.7	-2.39	13.9	15.8	-1.86
Kevin Willis	23	22	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	5	-15	18.9	16.0	2.93	15.0	14.0	0.94
Glen Rice	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-4	3	16.0	19.5	-3.47	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Walt Williams	31	31	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	7	-19	17.9	16.1	1.84	13.8	14.5	-0.65
Moochie Norris	88	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	2	-9	16.7	16.2	0.57	14.4	11.8	2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	92.6%
DEN 108, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.39,0.28,0.29,0.01,0	92.2%
CLE 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.05,0.14,0.04,0	92.1%