NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	5.4 [759]		MVP	Baron Davis (GSW): +16.4%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.2 [1223]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (BOS): -25.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allan Ray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.03	9	72%	0.09	6	-0.16	7	86%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	17	51%	0.00	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.06	-0.01	17	22%	-0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.05	-0.04	20	51%	0.16	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.03
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	16	70%	0.16	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.03	12	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	13	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	8	30%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.7	15.0	28.2	2.3	31.3	134.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.3%

GSW +4.2%

BOS -7.5%

GSW +15.2%

GSW +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.4	104.2	114.6	104.5
season	15.5	13.5		101.7	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	16.5	15.9	15.2	15.6
GSW	15.9	14.8	11.8	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-11	12	17.4	15.5	1.89	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Rajon Rondo	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-11	12	17.4	15.5	1.89	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Allan Ray	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-11	12	17.5	15.5	1.98	16.5	14.3	2.20
Sebastian Telfair	57	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-12	14	15.5	15.7	-0.23	14.9	13.7	1.15
Brian Scalabrine	25	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-7	4	13.6	16.3	-2.71	17.9	13.1	4.84
Kendrick Perkins	21	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	13.9	16.1	-2.24	17.2	13.7	3.54
Ryan Gomes	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-5	0	16.1	14.7	1.38	12.7	17.7	-4.98
Al Jefferson	69	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.17	-5	-5	0	16.2	14.1	2.13	13.6	16.6	-2.98
Wally Szczerbiak	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-6	2	15.1	16.8	-1.70	14.7	13.6	1.11
Delonte West	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	15.6	15.6	-0.06	13.9	15.5	-1.61
Gerald Green	33	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	3	-16	16.9	14.9	2.03	12.5	15.4	-2.87
Tony Allen	65	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	1	-12	15.4	16.0	-0.58	15.3	12.7	2.61

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-1	12	14.3	14.7	-0.41	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Matt Barnes	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	14.0	16.0	-1.99	15.6	15.6	-0.04
Baron Davis	80	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	0	10	13.8	17.2	-3.35	15.5	16.2	-0.77
Mickael Pietrus	80	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	1	8	14.3	14.7	-0.35	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Jason Richardson	53	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	1	8	14.3	14.6	-0.29	16.0	15.1	0.86
Keith McLeod	42	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	7	-4	15.5	13.5	2.05	15.9	15.4	0.55
Mike Dunleavy	58	59	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	11	-12	15.2	13.1	2.14	15.2	16.2	-1.04
Adonal Foyle	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	11	-12	15.9	14.3	1.61	18.0	15.4	2.61
Ike Diogu	9	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	12	-14	12.9	14.6	-1.66	15.2	15.7	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 77, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SEA 86, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DEN 90, CHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%