NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	86		Excitement	5.1 [786]		MVP	Caron Butler (WAS): +16.9%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	1.1 [1167]		LVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): -17.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	13	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	3	-0.05	8	62%	0.01
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.03	-0.06	13	31%	-0.06	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	21	40%	-0.14	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.05	0.08	21	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	18	49%	0.04	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.2	15.8	25.5	2.0	27.3	125.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.5%

WAS +12.7%

SEA -8.1%

WAS +20.2%

SEA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	WAS	NBA	SEA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	15.4	87.8	109.1	105.7
season	14.5	16.1		99.1	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.0		107.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	15.5	14.0	15.6	15.0
WAS	12.7	17.2	16.0	11.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	68	67	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.17	-5	-17	12	14.7	15.7	-1.01	15.6	11.2	4.38
Wally Szczerbiak	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-22	22	15.3	14.8	0.56	16.4	12.5	3.87
Jeff Green	70	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-12	2	14.9	15.3	-0.36	14.1	14.4	-0.32
Kevin Durant	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-6	-10	14.5	16.7	-2.28	14.1	14.5	-0.41
Delonte West	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-8	-6	15.5	14.4	1.10	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Damien Wilkins	24	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-7	-8	15.8	14.8	1.01	10.4	15.5	-5.05
Earl Watson	58	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	-3	-16	14.6	15.6	-1.05	14.3	14.1	0.24
Kurt Thomas	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-6	-10	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.5	13.7	0.81
Johan Petro	35	37	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	-7	-8	15.6	14.7	0.89	12.6	15.2	-2.63

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	73	73	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.13	25	-3	28	13.9	15.0	-1.12	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Caron Butler	80	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.26	29	-7	36	14.5	13.2	1.30	15.4	13.2	2.22
Antawn Jamison	76	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.25	28	-6	34	13.8	15.5	-1.71	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Brendan Haywood	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.14	23	-1	24	14.2	14.2	0.05	15.1	15.0	0.09
Roger Mason Jr.	39	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	11	0	13.2	14.8	-1.62	15.7	14.6	1.08
DeShawn Stevenson	70	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	6	10	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.4	16.5	-2.11
Dominic McGuire	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	12.0	14.4	-2.35	15.4	15.0	0.39
Nick Young	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	30	-38	15.6	13.8	1.73	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Darius Songaila	42	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.11	2	20	-18	14.1	14.3	-0.24	15.4	14.8	0.58
Andray Blatche	23	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.22	-12	34	-46	16.0	13.7	2.33	15.0	15.0	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1	95.3%
MIL 90, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.3%
NYK 87, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%