NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	77		Excitement	4.4 [915]		MVP	Larry Robinson (ATL): +8.2%
Atlanta Hawks	87		Comeback	1.1 [424]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -17.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	19	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.15	-0.01	0.11	16	70%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.20	-0.03	-0.06	14	29%	-0.09	3	-0.08	7	29%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	4	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	9	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	19	50%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.04	15	49%	-0.02	6	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	41%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.6	15.5	25.4	2.6	31.0	127.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.2%

ATL +6.3%

ATL +2.2%

ATL +11.0%

ATL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	18.1	15.5	90.6	102.4	100.9
season	16.4	15.4		99.2	96.0
opponent	15.1	16.1		101.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.9	13.7	16.9	14.9	15.8
ATL	15.7	18.5	18.3	20.0	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	41	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-8	6	15.2	16.3	-1.15	17.7	18.4	-0.70
Rick Brunson	7	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-3	-4	16.4	15.7	0.70	15.0	18.3	-3.33
Kurt Thomas	42	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-7	4	15.2	16.3	-1.09	17.2	19.0	-1.74
Erick Strickland	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-6	2	14.4	16.8	-2.43	19.4	17.1	2.32
Luc Longley	23	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	0	-10	17.1	15.3	1.84	18.4	18.0	0.42
Latrell Sprewell	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-6	2	16.1	14.9	1.20	18.4	17.4	0.94
Allan Houston	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-9	8	15.9	15.3	0.53	18.3	17.0	1.26
Marcus Camby	68	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-5	0	16.2	14.3	1.87	18.1	18.0	0.12
Glen Rice	73	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	4	-18	15.9	14.8	1.11	17.9	19.5	-1.56

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roshown McLeod	60	60	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-2	14	18.2	17.8	0.47	16.1	15.0	1.06
Jason Terry	79	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	2	6	17.9	21.2	-3.31	15.5	19.0	-3.50
Dikembe Mutombo	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	2	6	17.7	20.1	-2.40	16.6	11.4	5.22
Lorenzen Wright	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-3	16	19.4	13.5	5.88	16.1	14.7	1.35
Matt Maloney	64	65	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	7	-4	18.4	17.2	1.14	16.5	13.6	2.86
Hanno Mottola	22	21	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	3	4	17.2	18.4	-1.23	15.0	16.0	-1.05
Larry Robinson	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	8	-6	17.7	18.5	-0.75	14.2	17.3	-3.06
DerMarr Johnson	15	14	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	9	-8	16.3	18.5	-2.22	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Cal Bowdler	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	14	-18	17.9	18.1	-0.26	11.3	16.2	-4.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1	96.0%
BOS 111, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 100, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%