NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	5.5 [707]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +16.5%
Golden State Warriors	114		Comeback	1.1 [1304]		LVP	Marcus Thornton (BOS): -12.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Phil Pressey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	16	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jared Sullinger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.09	-0.01	0.08	17	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	7	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.03	0.06	12	63%	0.01	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.06	0.07	19	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	16	54%	0.16	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.05
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	12	52%	0.08	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	28.8	15.0	27.0	1.6	37.4	135.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.0%

GSW +22.1%

BOS -4.1%

GSW +10.6%

BOS -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	12.6	15.1	105.7	109.6	104.2
season	14.3	13.6		103.1	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.7	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	15.4	15.7	13.0	14.9
GSW	11.8	13.4	12.0	13.2	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	33	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-3	3	15.5	14.7	0.79	13.5	12.2	1.37
James Young	32	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-5	7	14.3	15.2	-0.91	13.9	12.0	1.89
Jae Crowder	48	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-4	5	14.9	14.9	-0.01	11.5	13.5	-2.00
Gerald Wallace	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	1	-5	14.5	15.1	-0.61	12.7	12.6	0.10
Tyler Zeller	44	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-2	1	14.7	15.1	-0.49	13.5	12.0	1.51
Marcus Thornton	29	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	4	-11	15.6	14.7	0.89	13.2	12.4	0.78
Brandon Bass	66	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-5	7	15.0	14.9	0.07	12.6	12.6	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	38	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	2	-7	15.5	14.6	0.91	13.0	12.4	0.60
Avery Bradley	70	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-5	7	14.9	14.9	0.00	12.2	13.5	-1.33
Jared Sullinger	69	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	14.8	15.3	-0.51	12.0	13.7	-1.70
Evan Turner	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	0	-3	14.9	15.1	-0.17	12.2	13.5	-1.37

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	73	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-3	9	11.8	14.6	-2.81	15.1	14.6	0.42
Andrew Bogut	60	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	-8	19	12.1	13.3	-1.16	15.6	14.0	1.60
Draymond Green	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	3	-3	12.1	13.6	-1.46	15.0	14.8	0.26
Klay Thompson	68	70	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	2	-1	12.5	12.7	-0.18	15.3	14.2	1.16
Harrison Barnes	57	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	2	-1	11.2	14.3	-3.16	15.1	14.8	0.28
Justin Holiday	35	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	1	1	12.8	12.5	0.25	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Andre Iguodala	64	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.43	-7	10	-17	13.7	10.8	2.89	14.3	15.9	-1.55
David Lee	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	0	3	13.6	12.1	1.46	14.8	15.0	-0.26
Marreese Speights	27	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	2	-1	14.1	12.1	1.98	14.6	15.1	-0.41
Shaun Livingston	32	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	6	-9	14.5	11.8	2.69	14.9	14.9	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 67, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NYK 77, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIN 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%