NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	90		Excitement	4.9 [805]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +14.2%
Chicago Bulls	118		Comeback	1.1 [1259]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -13.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	11	71%	0.18	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Danny Fortson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	20	59%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	3	25%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harold Ellis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Eric Washington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	12	29%	-0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Bryant Stith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	7	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	19	68%	0.18	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	9	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	71%	0.14	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	0.03	12	39%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	27.1	15.7	25.2	2.5	24.4	123.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.0%

CHI +3.6%

CHI +10.4%

DEN -1.5%

DEN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CHI	NBA	DEN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	14.1	15.6	94.7	124.2	102.5
season	16.2	16.2		96.7	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		97.9	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.7	13.5	19.9	16.7	16.3
CHI	14.3	13.7	14.4	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harold Ellis	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-20	12	17.5	16.0	1.46	12.8	14.3	-1.41
Kiwane Garris	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.24	-9	-19	10	15.8	16.4	-0.67	14.6	13.9	0.75
Danny Fortson	51	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.23	-12	-16	4	15.6	17.0	-1.48	14.4	13.7	0.71
LaPhonso Ellis	73	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.13	-10	-18	8	16.1	16.9	-0.80	14.3	13.3	0.94
Johnny Newman	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-20	12	14.8	18.0	-3.21	14.6	13.4	1.18
Eric Washington	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.34	-19	-9	-10	15.4	17.4	-1.94	13.8	14.4	-0.58
Dean Garrett	43	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-19	10	17.5	15.2	2.22	13.6	14.5	-0.96
Bryant Stith	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-16	4	18.2	15.4	2.85	13.7	14.2	-0.58
Joe Wolf	24	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-16	4	15.5	16.5	-1.01	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Tony Battie	39	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.19	-22	-6	-16	17.8	15.2	2.57	14.4	13.8	0.59
Anthony Goldwire	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	-9	-10	16.4	15.8	0.67	13.9	14.6	-0.75

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	69	69	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	10	8	14.1	13.9	0.25	16.8	14.7	2.10
Ron Harper	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	15	-2	14.6	13.2	1.37	17.0	14.8	2.23
Michael Jordan	79	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.31	23	5	18	13.8	15.2	-1.35	16.2	16.3	-0.05
Toni Kukoc	63	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.41	26	2	24	13.7	14.8	-1.18	17.2	14.5	2.68
Scott Burrell	46	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.29	21	7	14	14.0	14.1	-0.16	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Dickey Simpkins	33	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.23	16	12	4	13.8	14.2	-0.47	16.4	16.2	0.23
Dennis Rodman	56	54	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	22	-16	14.5	13.4	1.11	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Jud Buechler	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.34	13	15	-2	13.9	14.2	-0.24	15.1	17.1	-1.90
Bill Wennington	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	23	-18	13.7	14.1	-0.41	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Joe Kleine	20	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	29	-30	14.3	14.0	0.36	13.5	17.0	-3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SEA 86, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CLE 80, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%