NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	5.5 [753]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +9.1%
Denver Nuggets	116		Comeback	1.6 [898]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (BOS): -9.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	17	49%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Leon Powe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	17	47%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.03	0.06	15	53%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	55%	-0.00	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Ryan Gomes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	19	61%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	4	69%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	10	50%	0.05	3	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	12	55%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	22	49%	0.08	6	-0.12	13	69%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.6	30.2	15.4	26.5	2.4	28.5	136.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +27.3%

DEN +5.1%

DEN +6.3%

DEN +9.4%

DEN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DEN	NBA	BOS	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	15.4	105.0	113.7	104.5
season	15.5	14.0		101.7	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.5	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	15.0	14.6	13.9	14.6
DEN	13.1	13.2	14.2	15.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	28	29	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-16	21	14.1	14.7	-0.57	13.1	14.3	-1.26
Allan Ray	37	40	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-18	25	13.4	15.2	-1.86	14.5	13.6	0.91
Sebastian Telfair	50	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-14	17	14.1	15.0	-0.82	14.2	13.7	0.53
Rajon Rondo	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-9	7	13.4	15.2	-1.86	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Brian Scalabrine	55	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-10	9	14.0	15.2	-1.14	12.9	15.2	-2.27
Ryan Gomes	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	14.6	14.4	0.20	14.7	13.2	1.55
Delonte West	40	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	4	-19	15.3	14.0	1.29	13.1	14.5	-1.49
Tony Allen	62	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	2	-15	15.4	13.2	2.25	14.6	13.0	1.61
Gerald Green	75	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	4	-19	15.0	13.1	1.96	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Al Jefferson	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	5	-21	14.9	13.9	0.92	14.2	13.6	0.60

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	93	92	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	0	11	13.9	14.6	-0.64	14.7	13.1	1.55
Eduardo Najera	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-5	21	14.5	12.8	1.75	15.2	13.1	2.15
Nene	62	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	0	11	13.6	14.5	-0.83	15.6	13.1	2.47
Yakhouba Diawara	57	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-3	17	15.0	12.6	2.37	15.3	13.6	1.73
Earl Boykins	70	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	5	1	13.4	15.2	-1.86	14.0	15.7	-1.76
DerMarr Johnson	43	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	3	5	14.5	13.6	0.94	15.2	14.0	1.14
Reggie Evans	68	67	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	15	-19	13.6	14.7	-1.10	13.3	17.1	-3.75
Linas Kleiza	46	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	17	-23	13.2	14.6	-1.45	13.4	15.5	-2.08
Jamal Sampson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	17.0	13.9	3.09	6.5	14.7	-8.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHI 69, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 93, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%