inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 93 Excitement4.1 [1019] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +11.7%
Denver Nuggets 112 Comeback1.2 [422] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -13.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.010.001462%0.1200.001191%0.05
Anthony Bennett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Delon Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luis Scola-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01550%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.001055%0.022-0.02250%-0.01
Lucas Nogueira-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.02267%-0.011-0.002100%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.020,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01850%-0.011-0.01450%-0.02
James Johnson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01275%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00839%-0.041-0.002100%0.00
Norman Powell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03517%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02625%-0.051-0.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00137%-0.012-0.05650%-0.04
Kyle Lowry-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.011231%-0.082-0.05837%-0.06

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.03-0.01687%0.142-0.033100%0.01
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.01-0.01669%0.1000.001100%0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.000.047114%0.103-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.061867%0.112-0.05450%-0.01
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.00768%0.114-0.08580%0.01
Mike Miller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01633%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Sean Kilpatrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01333%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.11-0.01-0.061020%-0.0510.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.04-0.010.101659%-0.063-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.431.615.424.62.328.6126.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +46.6%
DEN +4.6%
DEN +5.2%
TOR -9.1%
DEN +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game14.214.814.993.9112.0105.1
season16.114.9107.2104.3
opponent14.914.8107.8104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.414.815.013.514.2
DEN16.611.917.014.114.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bismack Biyombo31300.03-0.530.55-0.063-222513.914.3-0.4115.814.31.44
Anthony Bennett15160.00-0.500.50-0.238-273514.114.2-0.0614.814.70.06
Delon Wright10110.00-0.500.50-0.124-232714.914.10.8014.114.8-0.75
Lucas Nogueira2930-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-161313.314.5-1.1815.014.70.34
Norman Powell2628-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-202114.214.20.0714.914.70.18
Cory Joseph5960-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-13713.515.2-1.7514.914.60.27
James Johnson2022-0.15-0.350.190.05-7-12514.714.00.7114.814.70.07
Patrick Patterson4949-0.25-0.250.000.22-16-3-1314.114.2-0.0815.114.40.67
Luis Scola3535-0.25-0.25-0.000.07-11-8-314.314.10.1214.315.0-0.77
Terrence Ross5957-0.28-0.22-0.070.19-16-3-1313.714.9-1.2914.315.3-1.03
DeMar DeRozan5657-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.01-13-6-714.513.70.7715.114.30.84
Kyle Lowry6765-0.44-0.06-0.380.15-201-2114.713.11.5614.814.70.03
Jonas Valanciunas3940-0.48-0.02-0.450.08-190-1915.013.61.3913.815.4-1.56

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried48480.430.070.360.05136714.914.70.2214.813.61.26
Will Barton71690.410.090.31-0.061631314.615.1-0.5313.914.7-0.79
Danilo Gallinari59580.370.130.250.02127515.513.71.8314.413.90.44
Nikola Jokic59590.330.170.17-0.02127515.713.42.3615.112.82.23
Emmanuel Mudiay49480.300.200.110.04910-115.414.11.3114.513.90.62
Gary Harris40400.210.29-0.080.01712-515.314.40.9014.913.71.29
Randy Foye51510.200.30-0.11-0.10109114.115.4-1.3113.914.5-0.62
Jusuf Nurkic34350.170.33-0.17-0.16118313.515.4-1.9512.715.0-2.36
Darrell Arthur39400.070.43-0.36-0.22109114.614.9-0.2813.214.8-1.65
Sean Kilpatrick37370.010.49-0.49-0.08316-1313.715.4-1.6413.714.5-0.72
Mike Miller650.000.50-0.500.12-423-2712.214.9-2.7614.214.20.02
Joffrey Lauvergne750.000.50-0.500.12-423-2712.914.9-2.0514.214.20.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 87, MIN 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
SAC 80, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIL 111, PHX 1230.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%