NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	4.1 [1013]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): +12.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Comeback	1.3 [884]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -9.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Devin Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
TJ Warren	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Archie Goodwin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	20	50%	0.11	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	11	69%	0.19	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	13	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	74%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	0.07	6	79%	0.04	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	0.05	10	42%	-0.06	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	30.5	16.7	25.1	2.4	32.4	133.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +40.4%

MIN +13.4%

PHX -3.3%

MIN +0.3%

PHX -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	14.9	91.6	120.6	105.1
season	14.4	14.8		100.9	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.4		108.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	15.8	16.5	15.6	15.8
MIN	14.5	14.9	14.2	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Archie Goodwin	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-25	20	13.1	16.2	-3.13	11.9	14.5	-2.62
Sonny Weems	33	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.34	-14	-16	2	14.1	16.8	-2.70	14.2	14.2	0.09
Lorenzo Brown	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-22	14	15.7	15.8	-0.12	13.2	14.4	-1.23
Mirza Teletovic	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.26	-13	-17	4	16.1	15.7	0.46	15.2	13.7	1.49
TJ Warren	43	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-19	8	14.2	17.1	-2.90	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Jon Leuer	42	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.24	-15	-15	0	14.5	16.9	-2.45	13.0	15.2	-2.23
Devin Booker	54	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-15	0	17.0	14.2	2.77	14.7	13.6	1.19
Tyson Chandler	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-19	8	16.9	14.8	2.07	14.9	13.5	1.41
Markieff Morris	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.23	-21	-9	-12	16.1	15.1	0.98	14.4	13.8	0.52
Brandon Knight	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	-8	-14	15.8	15.7	0.12	14.4	13.2	1.23
PJ Tucker	56	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-15	0	17.1	13.9	3.22	13.9	14.5	-0.60

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	18	-6	14.1	14.4	-0.30	16.7	14.7	1.97
Andrew Wiggins	54	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	17	-4	14.6	13.7	0.89	16.8	14.5	2.33
Ricky Rubio	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	20	-10	14.6	13.9	0.69	16.7	15.0	1.74
Karl-Anthony Towns	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	19	-8	14.8	13.5	1.29	17.0	14.6	2.35
Kevin Garnett	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	19	-8	13.1	14.7	-1.54	17.8	14.9	2.84
Nemanja Bjelica	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.37	20	10	10	13.9	14.5	-0.58	15.0	16.6	-1.55
Gorgui Dieng	37	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.42	20	10	10	14.2	14.2	-0.01	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Zach LaVine	50	49	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.46	20	10	10	13.9	14.6	-0.69	15.0	16.7	-1.74
Kevin Martin	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.37	15	15	0	15.5	13.6	1.89	16.4	15.5	0.90
Shabazz Muhammad	55	53	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.38	15	15	0	14.4	13.9	0.56	14.2	17.9	-3.65
Nikola Pekovic	15	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	30	-30	14.6	14.1	0.48	13.6	16.2	-2.55
Andre Miller	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	29	-28	11.4	14.6	-3.19	12.8	16.2	-3.40
Adreian Payne	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	10.9	14.5	-3.62	13.2	16.1	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 111, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ATL 82, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
TOR 93, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%