NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	83		Excitement	3.7 [1078]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +17.5%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	1.4 [1043]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -12.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivan Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04
Al Horford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	14	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	0.00	-0.04	16	21%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.02	0.03	8	91%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	16	71%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.12	3	-0.07	14	86%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	0.05	10	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	27%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	35.2	16.4	38.4	3.4	32.4	156.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.1%

IND +0.2%

IND +13.0%

ATL -17.1%

IND +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.4	90.2	115.2	104.1
season	15.1	16.1		102.6	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	17.0	13.9	14.6	15.2
IND	16.5	14.9	15.4	17.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-23	23	2.0	15.4	-13.38	0.0	16.1	-16.07
Dahntay Jones	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	13.7	15.4	-1.73	18.3	15.8	2.51
Mike Scott	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	13.7	15.4	-1.73	18.3	15.8	2.51
Shelvin Mack	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	13.7	15.4	-1.73	18.3	15.8	2.51
John Jenkins	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	13.7	15.4	-1.73	18.3	15.8	2.51
Anthony Tolliver	33	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-19	15	13.8	16.1	-2.26	16.6	15.8	0.80
Josh Smith	47	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	-12	1	16.0	14.4	1.60	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Ivan Johnson	33	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-15	7	14.7	15.5	-0.85	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Kyle Korver	63	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-10	-3	15.1	15.6	-0.46	15.5	17.3	-1.83
Johan Petro	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-12	1	16.8	14.3	2.52	16.3	15.9	0.36
Al Horford	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-7	-9	14.9	16.5	-1.58	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Jeff Teague	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	-3	-17	15.9	13.6	2.29	16.1	15.9	0.20
Devin Harris	69	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.20	-28	5	-33	15.8	13.7	2.06	15.5	18.2	-2.64

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.19	24	-1	25	15.5	17.7	-2.17	15.4	14.8	0.61
George Hill	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.21	24	-1	25	15.5	17.7	-2.23	15.4	14.9	0.49
Lance Stephenson	74	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.28	25	-2	27	16.2	15.7	0.50	15.4	14.8	0.56
Roy Hibbert	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	1	21	15.9	16.4	-0.50	16.1	13.2	2.91
Paul George	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.26	19	4	15	16.5	15.0	1.48	16.0	13.6	2.35
D.J. Augustin	49	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	21	-19	16.3	15.8	0.43	14.4	16.3	-1.90
Ian Mahinmi	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	23	-23	15.8	16.1	-0.34	12.9	15.8	-2.89
Jeff Ayres	17	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	22	-21	15.4	16.2	-0.87	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Gerald Green	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	18.5	15.9	2.60	12.8	15.4	-2.57
Orlando Johnson	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	17.7	16.0	1.66	10.5	15.5	-4.95
Tyler Hansbrough	23	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	24	-25	17.7	15.5	2.17	15.0	15.3	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 112, POR 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%