NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Excitement	4.0 [1041]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +15.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	129		Comeback	1.2 [1246]		LVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): -5.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Ante Zizic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	8	70%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.06	17	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	8	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaron Blossomgame	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Collin Sexton	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.26	0.03	0.13	19	73%	0.16	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Jake Layman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	11	82%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.03	13	63%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	7	100%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	26.6	14.8	25.4	2.3	24.6	119.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.4%

POR +2.9%

POR +8.6%

POR +0.0%

CLE -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	14.3	119.1	137.2	109.3
season	15.5	14.9		106.3	112.6
opponent	13.9	13.9		109.4	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.2	14.9	16.5	16.5	16.2
POR	14.9	14.5	14.1	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	38	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-24	31	16.6	16.0	0.55	15.9	13.3	2.62
Ante Zizic	49	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-20	23	16.5	15.9	0.60	15.3	13.5	1.81
Matthew Dellavedova	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-16	15	15.9	16.4	-0.45	15.3	13.9	1.41
Jaron Blossomgame	57	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-16	15	15.9	16.7	-0.75	13.8	15.4	-1.68
Jordan Clarkson	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-13	9	16.3	16.2	0.11	15.1	13.5	1.54
Cedi Osman	31	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-2	-13	16.4	16.1	0.24	15.1	14.1	1.02
Alec Burks	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	0	-17	16.0	16.5	-0.47	13.7	15.2	-1.49
Rodney Hood	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-1	-15	16.2	16.3	-0.08	13.6	15.3	-1.76
Collin Sexton	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	4	-25	16.5	15.6	0.90	13.8	15.4	-1.56
Tristan Thompson	45	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	3	-23	15.9	16.5	-0.60	13.5	15.3	-1.81

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	-9	35	13.3	16.2	-2.97	16.7	15.4	1.31
Jusuf Nurkic	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	-9	35	13.3	16.2	-2.97	16.7	15.4	1.31
Damian Lillard	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	-6	29	13.6	16.0	-2.45	16.8	15.1	1.68
CJ McCollum	58	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.29	24	-7	31	13.3	16.3	-3.02	17.4	14.5	2.91
Jake Layman	52	51	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	-1	19	13.6	15.4	-1.79	17.1	15.2	1.83
Evan Turner	40	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	17	-17	15.9	13.3	2.54	15.0	17.2	-2.17
Nik Stauskas	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	23	-29	16.5	13.4	3.14	14.8	16.9	-2.14
Seth Curry	35	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	21	-25	15.7	13.6	2.07	14.9	17.1	-2.21
Meyers Leonard	36	36	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.29	-9	26	-35	16.2	13.3	2.97	15.4	16.7	-1.31
Zach Collins	30	31	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	22	-27	16.2	13.6	2.62	16.3	16.2	0.05
Anfernee Simons	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	14.8	14.4	0.41	12.5	16.4	-3.89
Gary Trent Jr.	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	14.8	14.4	0.41	12.5	16.4	-3.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, DAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
TOR 101, DAL 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ATL 83, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%