NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	4.0 [1021]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): +11.2%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	1.5 [981]		LVP	John Salmons (PHI): -11.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	22	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.01	0.05	27	52%	0.03	3	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Shavlik Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	48%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	9	59%	0.11	1	-0.00	11	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	17	47%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	15	60%	0.09	4	-0.08	15	100%	0.05
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	19	50%	0.06	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	35.6	16.8	31.8	1.0	39.0	152.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +4.4%

WAS +16.9%

WAS +14.1%

WAS +13.8%

WAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	13.6	15.6	95.1	104.9	104.4
season	15.2	15.1		104.1	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	15.9	16.3	11.2	14.6
WAS	15.1	12.9	12.5	14.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	8	8	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-14	18	12.1	14.8	-2.67	15.1	13.5	1.60
Steven Hunter	29	31	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-16	22	14.6	14.6	0.05	17.2	12.1	5.14
Shavlik Randolph	29	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-19	28	11.2	15.9	-4.68	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Matt Barnes	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-12	14	12.0	14.9	-2.87	9.7	14.1	-4.39
Kevin Ollie	31	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	16.2	13.9	2.26	14.1	13.4	0.66
Kyle Korver	70	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-7	4	14.4	15.0	-0.55	13.8	13.3	0.53
John Salmons	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.02	-10	0	-10	16.1	13.9	2.21	14.5	13.3	1.25
Allen Iverson	83	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	14.3	15.9	-1.61	13.0	16.1	-3.05
Andre Iguodala	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	14.2	16.3	-2.12	13.8	13.1	0.73
Samuel Dalembert	48	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.17	-23	13	-36	16.5	12.9	3.61	12.3	14.8	-2.48
Chris Webber	88	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	6	-22	14.9	12.9	1.92	13.3	15.6	-2.35

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	83	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-9	28	13.6	13.9	-0.37	15.2	12.4	2.78
Gilbert Arenas	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-1	12	14.5	10.1	4.41	14.6	14.6	-0.08
Caron Butler	93	92	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	4	2	13.5	15.1	-1.61	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Brendan Haywood	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.10	17	-7	24	13.4	14.0	-0.59	16.6	12.3	4.26
Antonio Daniels	68	68	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	9	-8	13.4	14.1	-0.71	13.7	16.3	-2.51
Jared Jeffries	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	5	0	13.0	14.2	-1.21	15.0	14.2	0.85
Donell Taylor	19	21	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	9	-8	10.9	14.3	-3.32	14.9	14.5	0.40
Michael Ruffin	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	16	-22	13.9	13.5	0.42	12.0	16.4	-4.41
Etan Thomas	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	14	-18	16.0	13.0	2.94	14.0	14.8	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, MIL 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BKN 99, CHA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DET 88, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%