NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	3.9 [1037]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +5.4%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.0 [658]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -19.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	78%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	36%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.05	0.06	22	61%	0.05	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	12	50%	0.03	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	6	37%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.05	8	74%	0.05	1	0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	30%	-0.05	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	16	44%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	0.06	22	51%	-0.07	3	-0.05	15	53%	-0.11
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	17	36%	-0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	14	24%	-0.04	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	28.5	15.6	24.6	2.4	40.5	136.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +49.4%

BOS +4.2%

NYK -13.2%

BOS +6.9%

BOS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.4	102.1	92.8	104.5
season	15.5	15.7		101.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		106.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.5	15.7	15.3	15.4	15.0
NYK	17.8	16.3	13.5	12.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	85	87	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	1	5	14.7	17.6	-2.91	14.5	19.4	-4.91
Tony Allen	47	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	0	7	14.1	15.9	-1.73	15.1	14.9	0.12
Rajon Rondo	33	32	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	-8	23	13.7	15.7	-1.95	15.2	14.9	0.33
Delonte West	57	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	5	-3	15.4	14.4	0.96	14.4	15.8	-1.37
Al Jefferson	63	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	10	-13	14.5	16.0	-1.46	15.4	14.3	1.04
Leon Powe	27	28	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	-5	17	15.5	14.8	0.72	15.5	14.8	0.65
Brian Scalabrine	45	47	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	5	-3	15.9	14.2	1.77	14.1	15.9	-1.82
Ryan Gomes	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	6	-5	14.8	15.2	-0.38	16.3	13.9	2.40
Sebastian Telfair	62	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.39	-8	15	-23	15.7	13.7	1.95	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Gerald Green	11	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	6	-5	17.6	14.7	2.98	16.9	14.7	2.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-4	1	19.0	14.7	4.26	15.8	15.0	0.84
Nate Robinson	41	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.27	7	-14	21	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.2	14.2	1.93
Quentin Richardson	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	4	-15	15.2	14.8	0.38	14.3	16.0	-1.68
Jared Jeffries	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.52	7	-14	21	14.6	15.8	-1.17	15.7	13.5	2.24
David Lee	63	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	6	-19	15.8	13.4	2.40	15.1	14.8	0.36
Jamal Crawford	87	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	14.5	19.4	-4.91	14.7	17.6	-2.91
Eddy Curry	89	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	15.1	14.0	1.09	14.7	18.6	-3.86
Stephon Marbury	77	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	3	-13	14.8	15.9	-1.13	14.8	15.7	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0.09,0	95.5%
DAL 96, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	95.4%
GSW 128, PHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	95.4%