NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	3.3 [1091]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +5.0%
Orlando Magic	88		Comeback	1.0 [655]		LVP	Brian Shaw (ORL): -15.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	78%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
John Starks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	11	62%	0.06	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Scott Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Buck Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	6	29%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	15	62%	0.03	5	-0.06	9	78%	-0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	47%	0.00	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05	-0.14	-0.01	-0.10	12	50%	0.01	8	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	3	45%	-0.00	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	13	52%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	14	62%	0.02	3	-0.05	11	100%	0.03
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	-0.04	17	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	0%	-0.03
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.04	0.09	8	79%	-0.04	3	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Brian Shaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	-0.04	-0.08	7	0%	-0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	29.6	16.0	29.1	2.5	41.5	150.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.0%

NYK +1.4%

NYK +18.2%

ORL -2.6%

NYK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	13.4	16.1	15.6	94.8	89.8	104.4
season	15.1	16.4		102.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.3	11.6	12.3	16.9	13.4
ORL	18.9	16.5	15.4	13.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	78	80	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-6	16	13.4	13.7	-0.30	16.0	16.3	-0.24
Charlie Ward	66	68	0.45	0.04	0.41	-0.08	18	-14	32	12.9	14.6	-1.77	16.6	15.0	1.56
Allan Houston	48	50	0.44	0.05	0.39	-0.09	18	-14	32	14.7	12.2	2.42	16.6	15.6	0.98
Larry Johnson	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	-3	10	14.3	11.5	2.77	15.9	16.5	-0.55
Charles Oakley	76	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	5	-6	14.1	11.0	3.12	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Buck Williams	40	40	0.16	0.33	-0.17	0.19	-1	5	-6	12.3	14.3	-1.99	16.6	15.7	0.88
Chris Childs	33	32	0.08	0.41	-0.33	0.43	-12	16	-28	13.8	13.2	0.57	14.2	17.0	-2.77
John Wallace	28	28	0.06	0.43	-0.38	0.21	-5	9	-14	12.3	13.9	-1.63	17.5	15.5	1.94
Scott Brooks	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	2	0	1.0	13.7	-12.71	2.5	16.4	-13.86
John Starks	47	46	0.01	0.48	-0.46	0.48	-16	20	-36	12.7	14.1	-1.40	16.2	16.0	0.13

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	52	51	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.69	23	-27	50	14.5	17.9	-3.41	15.0	11.7	3.28
Derek Strong	49	49	-0.13	-0.36	0.23	-0.60	16	-20	36	15.0	17.1	-2.08	14.8	12.0	2.77
Rony Seikaly	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.28	3	-7	10	17.1	14.6	2.50	12.9	14.2	-1.33
David Vaughn	28	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	11	-26	17.9	15.4	2.54	11.8	14.2	-2.40
Nick Anderson	85	83	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-2	0	15.4	20.4	-4.96	13.3	14.4	-1.07
Brian Shaw	54	53	-0.44	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	19	-42	16.6	15.5	1.14	12.2	14.9	-2.72
Gerald Wilkins	80	81	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	4	-12	16.7	13.4	3.23	13.4	13.6	-0.22
Horace Grant	88	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	9	-22	16.1	15.7	0.43	13.5	13.3	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 115, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIA 84, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.02,0	96.4%
LAL 122, MIL 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0	96.2%