NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	84		Excitement	3.7 [860]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +15.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	78		Comeback	1.0 [805]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -10.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.00	20	60%	0.16	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	83%	0.09	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	12	37%	0.03	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Norris Cole	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	16	35%	-0.05	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.05	-0.06	13	46%	0.07	5	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.17	-0.00	-0.12	16	22%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	34%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	30.0	18.0	26.8	2.8	33.2	140.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +47.1%

MIA +2.1%

PHI -7.3%

MIA +2.8%

MIA +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	14.4	15.6	88.4	84.8	102.8
season	15.5	15.6		105.6	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.8		97.6	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.2	14.3	19.1	18.3	16.3
PHI	16.4	12.9	14.3	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Chalmers	60	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-11	28	16.8	15.6	1.14	15.0	13.4	1.56
LeBron James	75	72	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-4	14	16.1	17.1	-1.02	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Dwyane Wade	74	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-4	14	16.2	17.0	-0.78	14.8	12.8	2.06
Joel Anthony	47	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.20	21	-15	36	15.9	16.8	-0.90	15.2	13.5	1.68
Chris Bosh	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	4	-2	16.7	15.5	1.21	15.0	13.0	2.04
James Jones	23	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	2	2	15.1	16.7	-1.66	12.5	15.0	-2.53
Shane Battier	46	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.31	-6	12	-18	16.8	15.9	0.93	13.2	15.4	-2.23
Udonis Haslem	51	48	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.53	-17	23	-40	17.0	15.5	1.49	13.7	15.2	-1.50
Norris Cole	31	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	17	-28	15.5	16.8	-1.28	14.1	14.6	-0.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-2	-2	8.4	14.8	-6.37	11.8	16.6	-4.80
Lavoy Allen	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-9	12	14.1	14.5	-0.45	17.8	15.9	1.93
Jodie Meeks	39	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-8	10	14.3	14.5	-0.16	17.0	15.9	1.15
Nikola Vucevic	27	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-3	0	15.7	13.9	1.81	15.7	16.6	-0.95
Elton Brand	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-8	10	15.8	12.4	3.41	16.6	16.0	0.70
Louis Williams	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-5	4	12.8	17.0	-4.19	16.4	16.3	0.01
Thaddeus Young	59	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-9	12	13.7	15.7	-2.03	16.8	15.5	1.27
Evan Turner	66	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-3	0	15.0	13.0	2.04	16.7	15.3	1.38
Jrue Holiday	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	14	-34	14.9	13.7	1.25	15.2	17.9	-2.72
Andre Iguodala	76	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	3	-12	14.4	14.4	-0.02	16.0	18.0	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0.09,0	96.4%
DAL 108, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	96.2%
SAS 120, ATL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	96.1%