NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	116		Excitement	7.4 [365]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +21.6%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	2.5 [860]		LVP	Steve Blake (MIL): -10.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	15	48%	0.16	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.07
Michael Redd	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13	0.19	-0.03	0.03	20	67%	0.19	2	-0.07	15	80%	-0.04
Dan Gadzuric	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.12	-0.03	0.06	22	69%	0.15	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
David Noel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	14%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.14	0.03	19	55%	0.22	0	0.00	11	100%	0.07
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	13	71%	0.30	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.01	12	67%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.02	11	90%	0.28	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	15	57%	0.13	5	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	26.1	15.5	27.4	2.6	43.1	141.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.4%

PHX +25.5%

MIL -9.7%

MIL -4.1%

PHX +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	14.5	15.4	122.1	129.8	104.5
season	15.2	13.8		105.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.5		105.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.2	16.8	16.5	13.4	15.9
PHX	12.8	16.0	14.1	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	37	36	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.22	13	-19	32	15.8	16.0	-0.16	16.8	13.1	3.64
Dan Gadzuric	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-12	18	15.0	16.3	-1.38	16.9	13.5	3.31
David Noel	3	1	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	10.3	16.1	-5.79	11.0	14.6	-3.57
Ersan Ilyasova	35	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-7	8	15.6	16.1	-0.58	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Ruben Patterson	57	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	0	-6	16.6	14.9	1.74	15.3	13.3	1.99
Mo Williams	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-1	-4	15.7	17.6	-1.94	14.2	16.8	-2.64
Michael Redd	85	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	16.5	11.5	4.96	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Andrew Bogut	67	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	6	-18	16.3	15.0	1.38	13.5	16.9	-3.31
Charlie Bell	81	78	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.19	-19	13	-32	15.6	18.0	-2.42	13.7	18.8	-5.16

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	82	83	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-9	24	13.9	18.7	-4.84	16.1	15.0	1.07
Shawn Marion	85	85	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	0	6	14.6	14.2	0.34	15.1	22.8	-7.67
Steve Nash	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-5	16	13.6	17.9	-4.34	16.5	13.9	2.52
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-6	18	15.1	13.2	1.88	16.9	13.7	3.28
Leandro Barbosa	56	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	7	-8	14.8	14.1	0.76	15.2	17.1	-1.85
Boris Diaw	61	61	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	6	-6	13.8	15.8	-1.98	15.8	16.2	-0.42
James Jones	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	8	-10	20.7	13.6	7.13	15.5	16.0	-0.55
Jalen Rose	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	8	-10	16.6	14.3	2.29	16.9	15.9	0.99
Kurt Thomas	15	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	9	-12	13.9	14.6	-0.71	16.7	15.8	0.98
Marcus Banks	11	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	12	-18	16.5	14.3	2.28	14.9	16.1	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 112, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
MIN 77, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	93.2%
DET 89, LAL 96	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.98,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	93.2%