NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	5.8 [608]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +6.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	2.0 [769]		LVP	Bison Dele (DET): -15.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	88%	0.17	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	17	51%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Mahorn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Don Reid	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.01	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	15	41%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bison Dele	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	11	35%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.01	15	61%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	19	59%	0.10	3	-0.06	16	50%	-0.07
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	10	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mario Bennett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	43%	-0.01	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	44%	-0.04	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	29993.2	0.2	22.7	2.7	45.3	30096.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +6.1%

LAL +20.3%

LAL +19.5%

LAL +4.1%

DET -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	16.6	15.9	15.6	100.0	109.1	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		102.8	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.7	18.7	18.6	12.3	16.6
LAL	14.3	16.4	18.3	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	12	12	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-11	15	13.9	17.0	-3.08	14.7	16.1	-1.37
Lindsey Hunter	63	64	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.22	8	-15	23	16.5	16.8	-0.32	16.0	15.7	0.31
Bison Dele	50	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	17.1	15.9	1.13	16.8	14.7	2.17
Rick Mahorn	44	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-11	15	14.8	18.3	-3.54	15.2	16.6	-1.46
Don Reid	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	0	-7	20.4	15.0	5.37	16.7	15.6	1.17
Jerome Williams	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-5	3	16.9	16.4	0.54	16.0	15.9	0.16
Scot Pollard	9	8	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	15.1	16.7	-1.64	13.6	16.2	-2.54
Jerry Stackhouse	57	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-6	5	14.6	20.2	-5.58	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Grant Hill	81	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	6	-19	16.9	13.5	3.39	16.0	15.0	1.04
Joe Dumars	68	66	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.28	-20	13	-33	17.8	12.6	5.25	16.2	15.2	1.00

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	61	63	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.21	21	-14	35	15.7	16.4	-0.74	18.2	12.7	5.50
Eddie Jones	51	53	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-8	23	15.9	16.0	-0.12	18.2	14.2	3.97
Derek Fisher	88	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.9	0.0	15.93	16.6	0.0	16.58
Rick Fox	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	1	5	16.0	14.8	1.20	16.1	24.8	-8.70
Shaquille O'Neal	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	16.2	14.5	1.70	16.8	15.5	1.26
Mario Bennett	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	8	-9	13.4	16.3	-2.91	18.1	16.4	1.73
Kobe Bryant	37	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	15	-23	16.0	15.9	0.12	14.2	18.2	-3.97
Elden Campbell	34	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	16	-25	16.5	15.6	0.88	13.8	18.3	-4.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.98,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, VAN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,1	93.7%
DET 110, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.7%
ORL 112, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%