inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 112 Excitement6.7 [488] MVPTobias Harris (ORL): +23.1%
San Antonio Spurs 121 Comeback2.2 [1084] LVPArron Afflalo (ORL): -16.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.160.070.001668%0.2300.00250%-0.01
E'Twaun Moore0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.004100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.00-0.04850%0.0600.00250%-0.02
Ronnie Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.02-0.02475%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adonis Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Doron Lamb-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.000.04362%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Maurice Harkless-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.011437%-0.0400.00475%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.050.011653%0.032-0.09475%-0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.011041%0.012-0.072100%0.02
Arron Afflalo-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.04-0.050.081846%-0.113-0.061100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.150.07-0.001765%0.241-0.02367%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.140.040.041965%0.202-0.06887%0.04
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.050.03689%0.213-0.08786%0.02
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.024150%0.192-0.0700%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.01961%0.122-0.06580%-0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00553%0.0200.00540%-0.06
Matt Bonner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.020100%0.001-0.032100%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.01-0.011335%-0.031-0.01560%-0.03
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.02625%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.827.315.426.52.334.3131.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +34.0%
SAS +19.6%
ORL -1.4%
ORL -6.0%
SAS +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSASNBAORLSASNBA
this game15.013.815.1112.0121.0105.2
season15.315.0100.4109.8
opponent15.015.0101.1105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.815.614.414.115.0
SAS13.613.213.814.713.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doron Lamb27280.01-0.510.52-0.207-162315.015.00.0015.613.22.45
Dewayne Dedmon330.00-0.500.50-0.093-121511.315.1-3.7418.313.74.63
Adonis Thomas330.00-0.500.50-0.093-121511.315.1-3.7418.313.74.63
Andrew Nicholson1919-0.06-0.440.39-0.143-121514.715.0-0.2815.813.42.47
Ronnie Price3436-0.12-0.380.27-0.182-111315.614.61.0014.513.50.99
E'Twaun Moore3333-0.18-0.320.15-0.263-121515.514.70.8715.113.21.91
Kyle O'Quinn3737-0.21-0.290.080.06-90-915.114.90.1913.514.0-0.52
Maurice Harkless7676-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-101-1114.715.8-1.0913.315.4-2.07
Tobias Harris6767-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.23-4-5115.114.60.5313.514.5-1.05
Jameer Nelson6361-0.38-0.12-0.270.03-145-1914.815.3-0.4913.214.8-1.52
Nikola Vucevic6463-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.05-134-1715.114.70.3313.414.5-1.07
Arron Afflalo7474-0.510.01-0.52-0.04-167-2314.915.3-0.4213.215.6-2.35

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green68670.51-0.010.530.1014-51913.614.3-0.6914.416.2-1.78
Tony Parker72720.470.030.45-0.0819-102913.015.9-2.9014.915.0-0.06
Tim Duncan60620.380.120.26-0.0615-62113.414.5-1.1415.114.80.28
Kawhi Leonard78790.380.120.26-0.0013-41713.515.1-1.6615.413.12.30
Tiago Splitter40380.310.190.110.0490914.413.40.9713.815.7-1.85
Manu Ginobili57580.280.220.060.1063313.913.80.0515.015.00.01
Patty Mills29290.070.43-0.360.28-716-2315.713.12.5614.715.1-0.38
Boris Diaw43440.050.45-0.400.11-211-1313.614.0-0.3716.214.02.22
Aron Baynes980.030.47-0.450.20-615-2114.813.71.0315.614.90.72
Marco Belinelli38370.020.48-0.470.13-413-1714.513.41.1115.214.80.36
Matt Bonner330.000.50-0.500.18-615-2118.313.74.6311.315.1-3.74
Cory Joseph330.000.50-0.500.18-615-2118.313.74.6311.315.1-3.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 116, PHX 1220.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.98,0.95,193.9%
MIN 77, SAS 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,193.8%
UTA 103, MIN 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,193.7%