NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Excitement	6.2 [582]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +16.9%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	1.5 [932]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -28.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	12	56%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	15	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Eddie Griffin	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	0.04	12	32%	-0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.12	-0.13	0.03	16	44%	-0.09	6	-0.19	4	50%	-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.01	8	78%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	13	60%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	20	55%	0.12	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.02	-0.03	19	29%	-0.11	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	3.4	30.5	18.5	26.2	3.0	37.3	140.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.3%

MIN -6.5%

MIN -6.7%

SAS +28.3%

MIN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.6	87.5	94.3	104.4
season	16.1	16.3		101.0	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		99.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.7	18.0	19.4	16.4	17.5
SAS	15.3	14.8	15.8	14.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	10	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-11	16	19.4	17.3	2.11	16.1	15.1	1.02
Rashad McCants	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	19.7	17.1	2.63	15.2	15.2	0.07
Eddie Griffin	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	16.1	18.2	-2.13	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Trenton Hassell	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	17.1	18.4	-1.27	15.3	14.9	0.40
Kevin Garnett	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-3	0	16.8	20.1	-3.21	15.5	13.9	1.62
Troy Hudson	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-4	2	17.5	17.5	0.00	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Michael Olowokandi	47	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	0	-6	18.3	16.6	1.69	15.8	14.6	1.20
Marko Jaric	74	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	1	-8	17.9	15.8	2.08	14.8	17.1	-2.26
Wally Szczerbiak	82	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	0	-6	17.5	17.5	0.04	14.9	19.5	-4.62

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-3	12	15.1	15.9	-0.87	17.5	17.6	-0.04
Tony Parker	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	2	2	14.9	16.1	-1.16	17.2	18.6	-1.44
Tim Duncan	73	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	0	6	15.2	15.0	0.23	16.9	20.3	-3.42
Rasho Nesterovic	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	3	0	15.2	15.2	-0.02	17.0	18.4	-1.44
Manu Ginobili	46	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	0	6	14.6	15.8	-1.22	18.0	17.0	1.03
Michael Finley	52	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	6	-6	15.4	14.8	0.61	16.8	18.5	-1.65
Nazr Mohammed	6	6	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	5	-4	15.2	15.2	-0.03	21.2	17.3	3.90
Robert Horry	23	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	3	0	17.0	14.6	2.39	18.5	17.1	1.43
Nick Van Exel	19	20	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	4	-2	16.1	14.9	1.16	18.6	17.2	1.44
Brent Barry	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	10	-14	14.4	15.5	-1.07	19.3	16.9	2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, OKC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.8,0.94,0.98,1,1	94.0%
ORL 112, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
NOP 96, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.97,1,1	93.8%