NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	5.9 [654]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +24.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	1.5 [649]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	69%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.06	9	68%	0.06	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.01	0.05	17	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	11	64%	0.14	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	7	55%	0.03	4	-0.13	8	75%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	17	23%	-0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.09	-0.03	22	62%	0.30	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Mike James	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.07	0.06	19	58%	0.15	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	16	57%	0.13	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	163.7	1.7	26.2	15.6	29.1	2.3	33.6	272.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.4%

MIN +0.3%

MIN +0.2%

MIN +9.8%

MIN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	15.4	112.0	118.3	104.5
season	15.9	15.4		107.4	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.0		105.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	17.4	14.4	13.6	15.7
MIN	14.6	14.7	16.2	16.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	18	18	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-7	7	18.0	15.1	2.92	16.5	15.2	1.26
Jarron Collins	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-9	11	17.2	15.5	1.74	15.7	15.5	0.20
Paul Millsap	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	16.7	15.1	1.63	16.8	14.8	2.03
Deron Williams	81	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.8	14.9	0.84	15.0	18.4	-3.37
Matt Harpring	45	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-4	1	16.3	15.0	1.25	16.8	14.2	2.55
Derek Fisher	59	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	14.9	17.0	-2.15	15.1	16.2	-1.17
Carlos Boozer	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-5	3	15.4	16.5	-1.04	15.3	16.3	-1.05
Mehmet Okur	69	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	6	-19	15.2	17.1	-1.91	15.1	16.8	-1.69
Andrei Kirilenko	73	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	6	-19	15.2	17.4	-2.23	15.2	16.4	-1.18

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	78	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-4	15	15.1	17.7	-2.68	15.1	18.5	-3.45
Kevin Garnett	78	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-2	11	15.0	17.9	-2.92	15.5	16.4	-0.87
Mark Blount	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	0	7	15.5	15.4	0.08	16.0	14.1	1.98
Trenton Hassell	67	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-1	9	14.9	17.1	-2.26	14.7	18.0	-3.27
Ricky Davis	77	77	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	5	-3	15.2	16.9	-1.76	15.6	15.7	-0.02
Marko Jaric	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	5	-3	15.9	15.2	0.67	17.2	14.8	2.48
Craig Smith	29	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	5	-3	17.4	14.6	2.85	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Randy Foye	25	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	17.7	14.7	3.06	17.5	14.9	2.52
Eddie Griffin	3	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	18.0	15.4	2.60	13.5	15.7	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 76, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
MIA 82, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.4%
MIN 121, WAS 135	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.91,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%