NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	10.0 [72]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +65.2%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	17.0 [69]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -39.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.65	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,0.65	-0.01	0.66	0.00	12	46%	0.68	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	17	74%	0.29	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.09
Jamaal Tinsley	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15	-0.01	0.15	-0.01	22	51%	0.21	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	41%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	19	45%	0.03	5	-0.18	6	67%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.4	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	5	25%	-0.32	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.11	0.02	15	77%	0.38	5	-0.19	5	80%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.09	0.03	14	66%	0.26	2	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	25	48%	0.09	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.07	-0.01	11	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.2	15.5	28.4	2.5	30.3	131.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +8.8%

IND +1.0%

IND +21.3%

IND +16.8%

IND +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	14.1	13.6	15.4	103.8	101.9	104.5
season	15.3	13.5		101.3	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	12.9	15.2	14.8	14.1
GSW	12.0	13.7	14.2	14.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	80	80	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.45	17	-15	32	14.1	14.3	-0.23	13.9	12.5	1.45
Al Harrington	81	81	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-14	30	14.2	13.7	0.48	14.0	12.1	1.91
Stephen Jackson	84	84	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-10	22	14.0	14.5	-0.48	14.0	11.6	2.45
Jermaine O'Neal	86	86	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.44	9	-7	16	14.1	14.3	-0.26	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Danny Granger	52	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.49	-10	12	-22	14.5	13.7	0.81	14.0	13.2	0.79
Jeff Foster	47	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	3	-4	14.3	14.0	0.26	12.5	14.4	-1.91
Marquis Daniels	47	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	13.3	14.8	-1.57	13.7	13.5	0.13
Sarunas Jasikevicius	26	27	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.02	-13	15	-28	14.5	14.0	0.46	12.3	14.0	-1.68
Darrell Armstrong	17	16	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.01	-16	18	-34	14.8	14.0	0.78	11.8	13.9	-2.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith McLeod	9	11	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-6	10	11.2	13.8	-2.58	14.9	14.0	0.89
Adonal Foyle	21	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	1	-4	14.9	13.3	1.60	12.3	14.5	-2.19
Troy Murphy	57	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-1	0	12.8	14.5	-1.66	13.8	14.5	-0.61
Matt Barnes	40	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	9	-20	12.9	14.0	-1.06	15.0	13.5	1.48
Mickael Pietrus	80	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-13	24	13.8	12.7	1.18	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Mike Dunleavy	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.49	8	-10	18	14.0	12.5	1.51	13.9	14.5	-0.63
Jason Richardson	17	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	9	-20	13.4	13.6	-0.27	13.1	14.3	-1.21
Baron Davis	78	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-7	12	13.9	12.6	1.28	14.2	13.8	0.45
Andris Biedrins	67	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.56	-1	-1	0	13.2	14.2	-0.95	14.6	13.3	1.33
Monta Ellis	79	80	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	9	-20	13.7	13.2	0.50	14.3	13.5	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.82,0	91.6%
DEN 106, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.84,0.91,0	90.2%
ATL 108, NYK 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.57,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.57,0.59,0	89.6%