NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	9.8 [86]		MVP	Steve Francis (NYK): +49.4%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	22.8 [50]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -21.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.49	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,0.49	-0.02	0.49	-0.02	19	58%	0.87	7	-0.37	7	71%	-0.20
Jared Jeffries	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	4	82%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	33%	0.02
Nate Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	15	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Channing Frye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	13	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.06,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	18	45%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.13

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	1	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.11	-0.02	12	43%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.04	2	83%	0.06	1	0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.01	16	53%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.15	3	-0.12	12	100%	0.11
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.08
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	13	38%	-0.07	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.7	27.0	15.4	24.6	2.6	47.6	146.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +82.1%

WAS -33.0%

NYK +12.1%

WAS -22.1%

NYK +11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	15.3	15.4	101.1	100.0	104.5
season	15.7	14.8		103.7	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.2	15.7	18.2	16.2	17.0
WAS	16.9	15.6	15.3	13.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	59	58	1.00	-0.51	1.51	0.54	16	-15	31	15.3	20.4	-5.06	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Renaldo Balkman	40	40	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.72	1	0	1	15.3	18.5	-3.17	14.9	15.6	-0.66
Steve Francis	71	72	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.51	7	-6	13	17.2	16.3	0.96	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Eddy Curry	81	82	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.49	1	0	1	17.0	17.6	-0.64	15.1	18.3	-3.22
Stephon Marbury	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	0	1	17.3	14.9	2.38	15.1	17.7	-2.68
Nate Robinson	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	1	-1	15.3	17.2	-1.91	17.7	15.1	2.60
Malik Rose	29	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	5	-9	18.9	16.1	2.75	16.3	14.9	1.42
Mardy Collins	22	21	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	12	-23	19.0	16.4	2.54	15.4	15.3	0.15
Jared Jeffries	55	56	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.33	-6	7	-13	18.1	15.3	2.88	15.7	14.6	1.08

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	84	83	0.57	-1.07	1.65	0.34	8	-9	17	15.4	14.0	1.39	17.8	7.2	10.59
Etan Thomas	30	31	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.20	3	-4	7	15.5	15.2	0.33	16.8	17.2	-0.37
Antawn Jamison	68	68	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-4	7	15.8	13.7	2.16	17.6	15.2	2.43
Darius Songaila	21	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	3	-7	16.0	15.1	0.90	15.5	17.6	-2.05
Jarvis Hayes	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	4	-9	15.7	15.2	0.42	13.8	17.7	-3.90
Antonio Daniels	35	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.59	4	-5	9	14.3	16.0	-1.74	16.8	17.2	-0.36
Andray Blatche	9	8	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.68	5	-6	11	10.4	15.9	-5.42	18.1	16.9	1.19
Caron Butler	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	4	-9	15.4	15.1	0.24	17.3	16.0	1.29
DeShawn Stevenson	54	54	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.52	-8	7	-15	15.4	15.1	0.33	16.3	18.1	-1.81
Brendan Haywood	57	56	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.78	-6	5	-11	15.4	15.2	0.15	17.2	16.7	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.82,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.63,0	92.4%
BOS 86, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,0	91.8%
IND 108, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.85,0	91.6%