inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 86 Excitement8.8 [119] MVPMark Blount (BOS): +25.7%
Miami Heat 84 Comeback11.6 [56] LVPLamar Odom (MIA): -41.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Blount0.260,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.260.030.23-0.001067%0.302-0.04450%-0.02
Walter McCarty0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.011056%0.0400.00560%-0.03
Mike James0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01-0.020.020.00845%0.0100.00450%-0.04
Michael Stewart-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Ricky Davis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00739%-0.041-0.02475%-0.00
Marcus Banks-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00437%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.03,0.1,-0.110.02-0.120.012454%0.022-0.13650%-0.06
Jiri Welsch-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.01932%-0.102-0.07786%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.060.060.13-0.050.021275%0.0600.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Loren Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00657%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Bimbo Coles00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.011243%-0.011-0.034100%0.02
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.14,-0.04-0.040.02-0.06-0.001653%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17-0.17-0.06-0.12-0.011146%-0.083-0.09250%-0.01
Lamar Odom0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.42-0.42-0.26-0.18-0.021730%-0.256-0.17667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.31.030.215.625.22.531.7134.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +53.6%
MIA -1.9%
BOS +3.7%
MIA -8.6%
BOS +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game14.818.615.7101.296.6100.5
season14.416.299.599.3
opponent15.915.998.8102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.615.015.314.414.8
MIA17.519.118.119.918.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike James59620.75-0.250.990.518-61414.714.9-0.1819.017.71.30
Paul Pierce73740.72-0.220.940.488-61414.715.6-0.9118.420.0-1.59
Walter McCarty80810.58-0.080.650.435-3815.19.25.9518.718.50.15
Mark Blount69710.52-0.020.540.404-2614.914.40.5219.514.94.54
Ricky Davis51540.51-0.010.510.62-46-1014.714.9-0.1418.119.5-1.45
Jiri Welsch4748-0.130.63-0.77-0.1920215.114.50.5919.217.91.26
Michael Stewart2020-0.190.69-0.880.02-79-1613.015.3-2.2916.619.2-2.59
Marcus Banks2625-0.250.75-0.99-0.07-68-1414.914.70.1817.719.0-1.30

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Wallace38370.30-0.801.090.155-71219.518.01.5714.614.9-0.32
Malik Allen17180.10-0.600.700.071-3415.819.3-3.5813.715.1-1.37
Bimbo Coles760.05-0.550.590.021-3425.918.07.8418.014.63.44
Loren Woods880.04-0.540.590.021-3423.018.24.8014.914.80.08
Caron Butler7673-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.531-3417.824.2-6.3414.914.20.74
Rafer Alston8079-0.550.05-0.59-0.46-31-418.025.9-7.8414.618.0-3.44
Lamar Odom7271-0.640.14-0.77-0.52-42-618.220.9-2.7714.715.5-0.84
Udonis Haslem6361-0.640.14-0.78-0.52-42-619.317.02.2715.114.11.00
Eddie Jones7472-0.670.17-0.85-0.44-86-1419.115.83.2914.914.00.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 85, CHA 820.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.73,092.9%
TOR 114, BOS 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.84,092.5%
SAS 91, UTA 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.84,092.3%