NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	9.3 [93]		MVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): +80.2%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	12.2 [50]		LVP	Eddie House (BOS): -33.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.80	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.8	0.16	0.64	0.01	10	96%	0.93	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.14
Carlos Delfino	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.4,0.4	0.17	0.23	-0.00	7	107%	0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.08	0.00	12	85%	0.35	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Chris Bosh	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	11	79%	0.35	7	-0.20	7	100%	0.05
Rasho Nesterovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.04	0.02	14	65%	0.10	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.33	0.33	0.06	0.27	-0.01	16	56%	0.39	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.12	0.02	16	72%	0.28	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.14	0.00	13	52%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	3	73%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	20	47%	0.00	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.33	-0.33	-0.07	-0.26	-0.00	9	22%	-0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	29.6	15.7	23.5	2.7	38.1	135.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +75.2%

TOR +41.1%

BOS -44.8%

BOS -24.5%

TOR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.4	125.3	123.1	105.7
season	15.6	15.6		108.5	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.3	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	15.5	17.5	14.7	15.4
BOS	12.3	17.2	16.8	19.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	76	75	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.51	11	-9	20	15.6	14.8	0.75	16.0	17.4	-1.40
Jose Calderon	75	73	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.43	12	-10	22	15.1	17.2	-2.13	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Anthony Parker	79	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-4	10	15.4	15.7	-0.37	16.7	13.7	2.96
Chris Bosh	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.52	-5	7	-12	15.4	15.5	-0.09	16.0	17.0	-0.96
Carlos Delfino	38	39	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.57	-7	9	-16	16.8	14.5	2.34	18.1	14.8	3.29
Jamario Moon	53	52	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	-7	16	14.5	16.8	-2.34	14.8	18.1	-3.29
Kris Humphries	6	6	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	0	2	15.0	15.5	-0.46	17.0	16.2	0.84
Rasho Nesterovic	25	26	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	-0.07	1	1	0	16.4	15.0	1.39	17.8	15.6	2.22
Jason Kapono	13	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	8	-14	14.5	15.6	-1.04	12.9	16.9	-3.94
Juan Dixon	17	18	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.00	-13	15	-28	16.2	15.3	0.92	16.8	16.1	0.70

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	26	26	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.11	12	-14	26	17.3	15.8	1.58	16.7	14.9	1.77
Brian Scalabrine	21	21	0.37	-0.87	1.23	0.13	8	-10	18	16.8	16.0	0.77	15.6	15.4	0.19
Glen Davis	19	19	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.26	-1	-1	0	18.6	15.6	2.98	17.9	14.8	3.12
Leon Powe	11	10	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-7	12	17.5	16.0	1.40	15.9	15.4	0.53
Tony Allen	30	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	1	-4	17.4	15.6	1.76	16.1	15.1	1.04
Paul Pierce	82	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	-1	0	15.4	23.4	-8.02	15.2	16.9	-1.71
Kendrick Perkins	58	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	5	-12	15.8	17.0	-1.18	14.8	16.6	-1.75
Ray Allen	72	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	3	-8	16.6	14.9	1.61	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Rajon Rondo	65	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.41	-9	7	-16	15.6	17.9	-2.33	14.7	17.4	-2.66
Kevin Garnett	71	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.51	-9	7	-16	15.8	17.5	-1.70	15.4	15.6	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,0	92.5%
SAS 91, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.84,0	91.4%
NYK 110, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.93,0	91.0%