NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	85		Excitement	8.3 [183]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +45.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	82		Comeback	8.2 [103]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -41.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.46	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.46	0.18	0.28	0.01	15	89%	0.63	6	-0.17	8	100%	0.14
Tracy McGrady	0.42	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.01,0.1,0.42	0.02	0.40	0.00	20	53%	0.53	3	-0.11	9	78%	0.08
Luis Scola	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luther Head	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15	-0.05	-0.12	-0.02	9	33%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	4	17%	-0.08	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Bonzi Wells	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.10	0.00	10	77%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.13	0.01	15	50%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.09
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	64%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	52%	0.13	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.08	-0.03	21	37%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.42	-0.42	-0.11	-0.32	-0.01	13	36%	-0.04	3	-0.37	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	29.0	15.4	27.2	1.8	38.2	134.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +0.8%

HOU +25.6%

HOU +13.2%

HOU +4.4%

HOU +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.4	94.4	92.1	105.7
season	16.2	15.8		104.6	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	14.6	16.7	15.1	15.5
CHA	17.9	14.2	16.0	19.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	69	67	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.42	16	-13	29	15.1	16.9	-1.83	16.6	17.0	-0.42
Rafer Alston	55	56	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.54	9	-6	15	15.6	15.4	0.21	15.9	18.1	-2.19
Tracy McGrady	68	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-5	13	15.3	16.0	-0.72	16.6	17.1	-0.54
Yao Ming	76	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-5	13	15.5	15.4	0.08	16.7	16.6	0.10
Bonzi Wells	47	45	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	9	-15	15.6	15.4	0.20	17.8	15.6	2.16
Charles Hayes	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	-4	11	15.4	15.6	-0.20	15.9	17.4	-1.51
Mike James	41	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.18	-9	12	-21	15.5	15.5	0.02	17.1	16.4	0.71
Luther Head	24	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	8	-13	16.5	15.1	1.36	16.1	16.9	-0.84
Luis Scola	27	28	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.04	-13	16	-29	15.9	15.3	0.61	18.3	16.0	2.33

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	55	58	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.09	8	-11	19	16.9	16.4	0.49	15.1	16.2	-1.02
Jared Dudley	23	22	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-9	15	18.3	16.1	2.18	16.5	15.2	1.38
Primoz Brezec	29	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-4	5	14.0	18.0	-3.98	15.1	15.7	-0.53
Ryan Hollins	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.29	9	-12	21	19.2	15.7	3.51	16.0	15.3	0.69
Jeff McInnis	35	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-5	7	18.8	15.3	3.44	16.5	14.9	1.57
Emeka Okafor	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	7	-17	15.8	19.2	-3.36	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Jason Richardson	72	72	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.50	-9	6	-15	16.7	16.4	0.34	15.3	16.2	-0.83
Gerald Wallace	69	68	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.45	-11	8	-19	16.2	18.2	-2.02	15.2	16.5	-1.26
Raymond Felton	72	73	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.45	-11	8	-19	16.4	17.9	-1.48	15.5	15.4	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,0	92.9%
SAS 91, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.84,0	91.6%
MIN 97, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.84,0	91.5%