NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	8.4 [167]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +9.4%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	11.5 [45]		LVP	Stanley Roberts (MIN): -26.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	14	67%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Terry Porter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.13,0.08	-0.12	0.21	0.01	7	64%	0.37	8	-0.29	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	18	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Micheal Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.18	-0.02	9	30%	-0.16	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.14

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Chucky Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	17	48%	-0.01	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.07
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.14	0.01	13	60%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.17	-0.01	15	47%	-0.07	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.6	26.0	16.3	28.2	1.8	30.1	126.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +61.7%

ATL -13.2%

MIN +23.9%

ATL -14.8%

ATL -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	16.6	15.6	102.1	102.1	102.5
season	14.8	16.1		105.3	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.7		101.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	12.9	13.6	14.1	13.9
ATL	14.5	16.5	15.9	20.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	55	57	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.66	2	-1	3	12.9	15.2	-2.28	18.2	14.2	4.04
Stephon Marbury	76	75	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.49	5	-4	9	13.6	14.7	-1.11	16.6	16.9	-0.32
Terry Porter	51	49	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	-5	11	14.4	13.2	1.25	16.3	17.0	-0.61
Kevin Garnett	87	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	-5	11	13.5	17.2	-3.71	16.3	20.1	-3.81
Sam Mitchell	80	78	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.61	-7	8	-15	14.1	12.7	1.33	16.2	18.9	-2.77
Reggie Jordan	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	0	1	14.9	13.7	1.20	17.0	16.6	0.43
Cherokee Parks	39	38	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	7	-13	12.7	14.6	-1.88	17.0	16.4	0.65
Micheal Williams	19	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	5	-9	14.7	13.6	1.11	16.9	16.6	0.32
Stanley Roberts	53	53	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.45	2	-1	3	15.0	12.4	2.64	16.0	17.4	-1.38

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Barry	11	12	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-6	11	17.5	16.5	1.03	12.1	14.1	-2.03
Chucky Brown	29	30	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.04	2	-3	5	17.1	16.4	0.62	15.6	13.1	2.51
Chris Crawford	19	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.05	4	-5	9	16.2	16.7	-0.54	11.3	14.5	-3.17
Anthony Miller	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	1	-3	17.3	16.4	0.83	15.9	13.2	2.72
Alan Henderson	86	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-2	3	16.9	14.0	2.88	13.3	18.6	-5.31
Dikembe Mutombo	80	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	16.2	19.1	-2.94	13.9	13.8	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.42	-5	4	-9	16.7	16.2	0.54	14.5	11.3	3.17
Eldridge Recasner	65	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.51	-3	2	-5	16.4	17.1	-0.62	13.1	15.6	-2.51
Mookie Blaylock	83	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.43	-6	5	-11	16.5	17.5	-1.03	14.1	12.1	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.83,0	93.1%
SAS 90, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.73,0	92.4%
HOU 82, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.75,0.58,0	91.6%