NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	10.0 [68]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): +65.3%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	5.6 [280]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -20.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.65	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.65	0.21	0.49	0.04	16	85%	0.71	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	16	62%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	0.00	5	78%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Taurean Prince	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.12	0.02	13	53%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	18	37%	-0.04	3	-0.16	10	60%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Baker	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.08,-0.06	-0.06	0.10	-0.12	0.04	16	70%	0.08	5	-0.14	11	73%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.19,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	0.02	0.02	16	50%	0.11	6	-0.21	4	50%	-0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.13	0.00	3	64%	-0.07	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.6	14.7	30.4	2.4	29.2	132.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.7%

ATL +9.4%

NYK -23.3%

ATL +17.3%

ATL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.8	109.1	110.3	107.7
season	14.4	15.0		104.2	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.0	14.2	14.1	17.5	14.3
NYK	15.7	14.0	14.2	16.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	69	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.60	2	-1	3	13.8	15.4	-1.56	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Dennis Schroder	70	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.58	-2	3	-5	14.4	13.9	0.55	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	73	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.43	2	-1	3	14.0	15.1	-1.08	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Paul Millsap	79	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-4	9	15.1	10.9	4.18	15.1	15.0	0.08
Kris Humphries	50	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	-3	7	13.4	15.2	-1.82	15.6	14.6	1.09
Mike Scott	19	18	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	-3	7	14.2	14.3	-0.15	17.2	14.6	2.59
Taurean Prince	13	12	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	-2	5	14.2	14.3	-0.15	18.2	14.7	3.58
Thabo Sefolosha	45	45	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.32	-8	9	-17	14.5	14.1	0.42	14.4	15.7	-1.33
Malcolm Delaney	39	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	3	-5	14.0	14.5	-0.51	15.9	14.6	1.33
Mike Dunleavy	38	36	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.18	-3	4	-7	15.0	13.9	1.12	15.7	14.8	0.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Baker	45	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	15.2	15.0	0.16	14.5	14.1	0.41
Courtney Lee	43	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-1	1	14.7	15.5	-0.79	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Kyle O'Quinn	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	0	-1	16.5	14.4	2.02	13.9	14.5	-0.52
Brandon Jennings	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	5	-11	16.7	14.0	2.73	14.8	14.0	0.80
Joakim Noah	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-1	1	14.6	16.4	-1.85	14.4	14.0	0.45
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	75	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-3	5	14.9	15.9	-0.97	14.7	13.0	1.71
Justin Holiday	44	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-2	3	16.5	14.0	2.45	14.9	13.7	1.19
Derrick Rose	66	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.63	3	-4	7	14.3	16.8	-2.49	13.9	15.1	-1.23
Carmelo Anthony	72	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	1	-3	14.5	16.9	-2.43	13.8	15.6	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.57,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.57,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.58,0	91.6%
HOU 90, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0	91.3%
UTA 99, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0	90.8%