NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	8.7 [173]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +60.2%
Denver Nuggets	86		Comeback	10.4 [161]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -25.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.60	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.32,0.32,0.6	0.19	0.42	0.01	13	76%	0.62	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.11	-0.04	0.12	-0.03	15	44%	0.18	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Luther Head	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	12	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	11	50%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.11	-0.00	17	28%	-0.24	1	-0.01	9	22%	-0.12

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.23	0.02	21	57%	0.32	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	8	81%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	17	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	32%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	8	35%	-0.04	2	-0.11	7	57%	-0.04
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.11,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	14	46%	0.06	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	29.4	18.8	25.8	2.0	34.0	139.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.9%

HOU +0.1%

DEN -16.6%

HOU +21.1%

DEN -8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.4	94.7	90.5	104.5
season	15.6	14.0		103.6	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.8	13.8	16.5	16.4	14.8
DEN	15.3	15.6	14.8	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	80	79	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-6	16	14.9	14.1	0.88	16.4	10.9	5.49
Tracy McGrady	76	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-3	10	14.5	16.1	-1.62	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Juwan Howard	76	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.60	1	3	-2	14.8	14.8	-0.04	15.1	17.0	-1.96
Rafer Alston	72	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.52	1	3	-2	14.7	15.0	-0.25	15.0	17.0	-2.03
Luther Head	62	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	3	-2	14.8	14.8	-0.06	14.7	17.1	-2.43
Dikembe Mutombo	58	59	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.14	6	-2	8	15.6	13.6	1.99	16.5	13.8	2.69
Steve Novak	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	20.0	14.8	5.24	2.0	15.6	-13.65
John Lucas III	23	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.14	3	1	2	15.0	14.7	0.25	17.0	15.0	2.03
Charles Hayes	27	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	13	-22	13.5	15.3	-1.81	14.7	15.8	-1.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	48	47	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.23	8	-12	20	15.9	15.1	0.71	16.0	13.7	2.27
Reggie Evans	16	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-1	-2	14.6	15.7	-1.06	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Steve Blake	54	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-8	12	14.6	16.7	-2.11	15.9	13.3	2.59
J.R. Smith	39	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	7	-18	17.3	14.3	2.97	14.0	15.4	-1.35
Eduardo Najera	43	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	5	-14	16.2	15.0	1.20	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Yakhouba Diawara	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-4	4	14.8	18.2	-3.38	14.7	15.4	-0.78
Allen Iverson	87	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.4	16.7	-1.36	14.7	15.5	-0.75
Nene	35	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.55	4	-8	12	15.3	15.6	-0.35	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Marcus Camby	77	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.34	-12	8	-20	15.8	14.4	1.31	14.6	15.4	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	92.3%
MIA 87, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.42,0	91.4%
CHA 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.27,0	91.4%