inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 87 Excitement8.4 [175] MVPQuentin Richardson (MIA): +25.0%
New Jersey Nets 84 Comeback8.6 [235] LVPKris Humphries (NJN): -27.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quentin Richardson0.250,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.250.060.190.011262%0.301-0.052100%0.05
Dwyane Wade0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01462%0.0400.00580%0.01
Michael Beasley0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.001761%0.163-0.12475%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00750%0.052-0.074100%0.02
Udonis Haslem-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00337%-0.001-0.02250%-0.02
Daequan Cook-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.011144%0.032-0.063100%0.02
Joel Anthony-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01217%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1-0.04-0.07-0.01737%-0.1000.001050%-0.17
Rafer Alston-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.0050%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21-0.03-0.180.00650%-0.022-0.18250%-0.02

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.190.190.060.13-0.01958%0.211-0.026100%0.05
Brook Lopez0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.050.050.10-0.040.012055%0.071-0.01786%0.02
Josh Boone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.03-0.00367%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00433%-0.031-0.021100%0.00
Yi Jianlian0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.00750%-0.021-0.04475%0.00
Terrence Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.04-0.00910%-0.1600.002100%0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.25-0.25-0.02-0.200.021547%-0.143-0.11862%-0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28-0.28-0.10-0.19-0.00714%-0.231-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.71.828.415.727.22.036.5140.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +86.0%
NJN -24.0%
MIA +9.0%
NJN -21.5%
MIA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANJNNBAMIANJNNBA
this game16.315.715.395.694.4106.0
season16.215.9104.498.7
opponent15.015.4108.3102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.115.817.015.316.3
NJN15.615.515.716.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Beasley62610.73-0.230.960.479-61516.216.5-0.3116.414.12.35
Daequan Cook69670.64-0.140.780.5530315.618.5-2.8315.416.5-1.08
Quentin Richardson60620.490.010.480.4030316.515.90.5616.713.33.38
Jermaine O'Neal41420.430.070.360.4012-116.016.6-0.6516.415.01.41
Carlos Arroyo54510.390.110.270.3321116.116.6-0.5714.716.9-2.20
Rafer Alston37380.110.39-0.270.0812-116.616.10.5716.914.72.20
Dwyane Wade13130.110.39-0.27-0.035-2718.216.02.2417.215.41.81
Joel Anthony40370.100.40-0.300.0130317.215.61.5914.916.2-1.31
Dorell Wright4036-0.240.74-0.99-0.10-58-1316.616.10.4813.916.9-3.06
Udonis Haslem3938-0.260.76-1.02-0.05-710-1715.916.6-0.6714.416.6-2.21

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keyon Dooling35370.53-1.031.550.1812-152714.616.4-1.7915.716.7-1.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts37390.38-0.881.260.0611-142514.116.8-2.6516.316.3-0.04
Terrence Williams29290.30-0.801.100.136-91515.016.0-0.9717.115.91.22
Josh Boone18190.03-0.530.57-0.084-71114.116.1-2.0415.516.5-0.99
Yi Jianlian4948-0.15-0.350.200.20-129-2116.614.52.0617.015.51.55
Kris Humphries4344-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.435-81314.716.6-1.8715.916.7-0.77
Brook Lopez6769-0.500.00-0.50-0.41-30-316.114.51.5116.715.01.72
Devin Harris5960-0.830.33-1.17-0.54-107-1716.514.12.3416.016.9-0.85
Jarvis Hayes5051-0.890.39-1.27-0.48-1411-2516.514.61.9016.416.20.19
Courtney Lee5859-1.080.58-1.66-0.67-1411-2516.114.81.3016.016.9-0.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 90, DEN 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,091.4%
DET 80, UTA 780.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,090.9%
CHH 102, TOR 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,090.8%