NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	80		Excitement	9.2 [111]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): +26.7%
Utah Jazz	78		Comeback	5.4 [196]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -27.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.27,0.27	0.08	0.19	0.01	12	67%	0.32	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.13	0.00	0.13	0.00	5	62%	0.18	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Richard Hamilton	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	14	67%	0.14	2	-0.05	14	93%	0.11
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	8	31%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	7	31%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	5	0%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.16

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	8	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	10	58%	-0.00	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	7	47%	-0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	7	25%	-0.11	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.13
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.26	-0.26	-0.03	-0.24	0.00	7	50%	-0.06	1	-0.20	4	75%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.23,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	-0.00	10	38%	-0.16	2	-0.11	6	33%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.7	28.5	15.0	25.0	1.8	45.2	145.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +39.9%

DET +0.2%

UTA -27.4%

DET +37.5%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	17.0	15.5	89.9	90.7	101.6
season	16.8	16.3		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		101.1	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.7	18.0	17.2	13.7	16.0
UTA	17.9	18.0	17.9	14.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	46	46	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.54	12	-10	22	16.2	15.7	0.43	18.1	15.7	2.41
Ben Wallace	59	58	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.55	7	-5	12	15.9	16.1	-0.25	16.7	17.6	-0.90
Jon Barry	43	41	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-1	4	15.6	16.3	-0.65	16.3	17.6	-1.24
Clifford Robinson	69	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	2	-2	15.7	16.9	-1.27	16.0	20.3	-4.35
Michael Curry	36	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-7	16	15.2	16.5	-1.34	18.4	16.0	2.44
Corliss Williamson	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.37	-9	11	-20	16.2	15.8	0.34	15.7	17.9	-2.26
Zeljko Rebraca	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	0	2	16.9	15.7	1.27	20.3	16.0	4.35
Richard Hamilton	62	60	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	16.5	14.6	1.92	17.4	16.0	1.33
Tayshaun Prince	1	0	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	4	-6	4.0	16.1	-12.10	0.0	17.0	-16.97
Mehmet Okur	29	28	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	6	-10	16.6	15.7	0.87	17.6	16.7	0.90
Chucky Atkins	43	40	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.11	-9	11	-20	15.7	16.2	-0.43	15.7	18.1	-2.41

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	38	41	0.39	-0.89	1.28	-0.02	14	-16	30	14.9	18.6	-3.71	14.6	17.1	-2.47
Andrei Kirilenko	49	54	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-6	10	17.7	16.0	1.65	16.5	15.1	1.36
Jarron Collins	28	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-1	0	20.7	15.2	5.51	18.7	14.5	4.26
Calbert Cheaney	57	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.45	10	-12	22	15.5	19.8	-4.27	16.2	15.5	0.65
DeShawn Stevenson	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	7	-16	20.0	15.8	4.15	16.5	15.8	0.73
Scott Padgett	56	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.49	9	-11	20	15.4	19.8	-4.35	15.3	17.4	-2.11
John Amaechi	26	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	11	-24	20.0	15.7	4.29	16.5	15.7	0.77
Greg Ostertag	56	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	2	-6	15.4	19.8	-4.35	15.5	16.7	-1.28
Matt Harpring	46	46	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	6	-14	16.6	17.4	-0.81	15.4	16.6	-1.19
John Stockton	50	52	-0.91	0.41	-1.33	-0.56	-12	10	-22	18.2	15.3	2.85	15.9	16.1	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 92, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.42,0	91.4%
TOR 98, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.63,0.57,0.42,0	91.2%
POR 104, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	91.1%