NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.4 [199]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +47.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	5.5 [277]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -28.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.47	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.29,0.47	0.07	0.40	-0.00	14	62%	0.49	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Austin Croshere	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	133%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.08	0.00	15	59%	0.17	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	38%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	86%	0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	22%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	16	38%	-0.08	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	12	31%	-0.15	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.01	6	64%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	62%	0.12	4	-0.14	8	100%	0.09
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	13	46%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	11	37%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.23,-0.28	-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	17	45%	-0.05	4	-0.23	10	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	27.3	17.0	30.2	2.4	38.2	140.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.8%

LAC -7.2%

IND +14.5%

IND +6.7%

LAC -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.5	96.8	92.6	101.6
season	15.4	15.4		102.2	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	14.9	16.7	15.1	15.5
LAC	13.4	17.8	14.6	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	63	63	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.46	12	-7	19	14.3	17.9	-3.62	14.3	16.3	-1.97
Ron Mercer	81	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.39	10	-5	15	15.5	15.5	0.04	14.2	19.1	-4.91
Brad Miller	55	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-3	11	15.1	16.1	-0.97	14.2	15.9	-1.67
Reggie Miller	70	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-2	9	15.1	16.7	-1.61	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Metta World Peace	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	15.5	15.6	-0.11	14.3	19.4	-5.14
Fred Jones	11	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	15.6	15.5	0.11	19.4	14.3	5.14
Austin Croshere	32	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	15.7	15.5	0.23	16.7	14.0	2.69
Al Harrington	38	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	7	-9	17.1	14.5	2.57	15.6	14.5	1.17
Jeff Foster	22	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	17.7	14.9	2.85	16.3	14.5	1.80
Jonathan Bender	19	21	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	13	-21	16.4	15.3	1.11	17.0	14.3	2.66

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	68	69	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.12	3	-8	11	14.4	16.3	-1.84	16.3	13.4	2.96
Tremaine Fowlkes	10	10	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-7	9	20.6	14.3	6.34	14.7	15.6	-0.94
Cherokee Parks	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-6	7	17.6	14.5	3.11	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Melvin Ely	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-2	-1	14.6	15.1	-0.50	15.1	15.8	-0.64
Elton Brand	78	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	14.4	17.7	-3.39	15.7	14.5	1.19
Marko Jaric	75	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	15.2	13.8	1.37	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Sean Rooks	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	1	-7	15.3	14.3	1.01	15.6	15.4	0.17
Keyon Dooling	60	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	1	-7	15.3	14.3	1.01	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Eric Piatkowski	69	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.41	-10	5	-15	14.0	17.5	-3.52	15.1	16.6	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.41,0	91.8%
ATL 104, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,0	91.5%
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	91.4%