NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	9.8 [58]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +8.4%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	4.2 [255]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -57.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.01	13	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	8	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Keon Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	13	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	11	50%	-0.06	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	4	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.3	-0.05	-0.26	-0.02	21	51%	-0.17	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.14

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	25	61%	0.20	3	-0.12	12	92%	0.05
Victor Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	5	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	6	67%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.00	11	37%	-0.15	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.08
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.58	-0.58	-0.15	-0.43	-0.01	21	36%	-0.49	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	25.5	16.4	29.2	1.5	32.2	132.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.7%

TOR +13.7%

TOR +1.7%

TOR +0.6%

TOR +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	15.9	15.6	103.4	101.1	102.3
season	16.2	15.7		100.3	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	16.2	18.7	16.3	16.4
DET	14.0	16.5	15.6	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	44	44	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.46	16	-14	30	16.2	16.7	-0.51	17.2	14.7	2.58
Antonio Davis	72	72	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.50	8	-6	14	16.8	14.6	2.19	16.1	15.4	0.73
Vince Carter	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.47	3	-1	4	16.3	16.9	-0.66	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Keon Clark	41	42	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	0	2	15.8	16.9	-1.09	15.8	16.1	-0.30
Dell Curry	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-6	14	16.8	16.1	0.70	16.8	15.2	1.65
Jerome Williams	69	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	5	-8	16.3	16.6	-0.30	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	40	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	15.8	16.9	-1.07	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Eric Montross	5	4	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	6	-10	17.8	16.3	1.47	10.5	16.2	-5.70
Alvin Williams	63	63	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.04	-15	17	-32	16.7	15.6	1.13	15.1	17.9	-2.74

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	51	50	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.01	8	-10	18	14.7	17.6	-2.95	16.5	16.3	0.19
Corliss Williamson	52	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-9	16	15.0	17.2	-2.18	16.3	16.6	-0.38
Michael Curry	40	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-7	12	17.0	15.0	2.01	18.2	14.9	3.32
Victor Alexander	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	0	-2	16.9	15.8	1.08	16.7	16.4	0.30
Jon Barry	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	4	-10	16.0	15.9	0.09	15.1	17.3	-2.20
Ben Wallace	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	1	-4	15.3	17.6	-2.36	16.6	16.1	0.48
Jerry Stackhouse	82	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	1	-4	15.7	19.0	-3.32	16.3	17.2	-0.92
Clifford Robinson	69	70	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.53	-6	4	-10	16.7	13.3	3.35	16.1	17.7	-1.68
Damon Jones	38	39	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	8	-18	17.6	14.7	2.95	16.3	16.5	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 87, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.42,0	92.1%
IND 92, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.42,0	91.8%
CLE 98, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	91.6%