inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 98 Excitement7.7 [325] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +24.2%
Boston Celtics 96 Comeback5.5 [163] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -26.2%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.240,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.240.070.17-0.001369%0.292-0.05367%-0.03
Drew Gooden0.100,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.13-0.010.021384%0.233-0.13683%0.01
Jeff McInnis0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03-0.000.02-0.011354%0.072-0.042100%0.06
Lucious Harris0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Snow-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ira Newble-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.00550%-0.0400.002100%0.03
Robert Traylor-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.22,-0.27,-0.08-0.05-0.030.001563%0.106-0.181191%-0.01
Scott Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0010%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Dajuan Wagner-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.01233%-0.022-0.062100%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.110.110.010.09-0.001058%0.131-0.03450%-0.04
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00483%0.0700.004100%0.03
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00470%0.061-0.03250%-0.02
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00350%-0.001-0.042100%0.02
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00333%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.021042%-0.011-0.064100%0.02
Mark Blount0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.03-0.110.011359%-0.021-0.07683%0.01
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.020.00525%-0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.07,-0.26-0.26-0.05-0.22-0.011953%-0.034-0.249100%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.434.316.025.22.431.2133.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +39.2%
CLE +2.4%
CLE +1.9%
CLE +3.0%
CLE +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEBOSNBACLEBOSNBA
this game16.215.315.5107.7104.3104.0
season16.214.4104.6104.7
opponent16.015.3104.1103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE13.717.316.516.916.2
BOS20.612.213.515.815.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas58600.82-0.321.140.2918-163415.617.3-1.7217.411.46.03
Jeff McInnis78790.74-0.240.980.537-51216.215.80.3815.613.61.97
Ira Newble67660.72-0.220.940.488-61415.817.1-1.2916.811.55.36
LeBron James80830.66-0.160.830.496-41016.216.00.2015.414.31.08
Drew Gooden83850.470.030.440.4411016.117.0-0.9015.414.11.26
Robert Traylor16140.020.48-0.470.0202-217.615.91.7613.715.6-1.88
Lucious Harris76-0.020.52-0.540.01-13-416.316.20.1214.315.4-1.04
DeSagana Diop1414-0.100.60-0.690.05-57-1216.816.10.7212.315.8-3.56
Eric Snow2829-0.160.66-0.830.10-911-2016.915.91.0411.816.9-5.18
Dajuan Wagner1313-0.240.74-0.98-0.09-57-1215.816.2-0.3813.615.6-1.97
Scott Williams1111-0.410.91-1.32-0.12-1012-2217.216.01.149.016.2-7.16

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter McCarty48470.21-0.710.93-0.028-101813.717.1-3.4216.316.00.30
Delonte West17190.13-0.630.76-0.025-71214.815.4-0.6616.516.10.44
Al Jefferson17170.05-0.550.590.050-2215.415.30.1314.816.5-1.66
Tony Allen18180.02-0.520.550.020-2215.815.20.5915.516.3-0.84
Jiri Welsch3030-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-3415.115.4-0.3515.816.4-0.56
Marcus Banks1514-0.09-0.410.310.02-42-616.215.11.0713.916.6-2.74
Ricky Davis6261-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.40-31-415.415.10.3516.415.80.56
Paul Pierce7473-0.520.02-0.55-0.47-20-215.215.8-0.5916.315.50.84
Gary Payton6058-0.540.04-0.57-0.45-31-415.215.4-0.2016.615.41.23
Mark Blount6867-0.570.07-0.63-0.48-31-415.315.20.1316.515.21.26
Raef LaFrentz5151-0.690.19-0.89-0.43-97-1616.813.53.2816.116.3-0.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 87, HOU 820.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.42,092.5%
ATL 104, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,091.9%
TOR 92, DET 900.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.41,091.6%