NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	8.9 [143]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +30.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	6.8 [145]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -30.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3	0.13	0.16	-0.01	19	71%	0.40	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.05	-0.02	11	52%	0.07	4	-0.10	11	64%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	79%	0.09	4	-0.14	8	100%	0.08
Calbert Cheaney	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	15	40%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	3	37%	-0.06	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	0.00	9	37%	-0.16	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.00	13	65%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.08
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.16	-0.02	12	53%	-0.10	3	-0.12	12	75%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.07	-0.02	12	37%	-0.07	5	-0.17	6	50%	-0.08
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.13,-0.3	-0.30	-0.01	-0.29	0.00	12	66%	0.02	4	-0.33	8	62%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.8	15.0	25.0	1.5	41.5	134.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +5.2%

UTA +35.3%

LAC -7.9%

UTA +14.2%

UTA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.5	15.5	102.1	98.9	101.6
season	16.3	15.4		103.1	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	18.1	15.5	14.6	16.4
LAC	13.2	16.9	13.9	11.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	31	30	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.53	11	-6	17	15.4	17.0	-1.60	13.5	13.5	0.01
Matt Harpring	74	72	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-1	7	16.0	18.0	-2.04	13.1	14.7	-1.60
Karl Malone	77	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.38	5	0	5	16.1	17.8	-1.71	13.0	15.3	-2.31
John Stockton	56	56	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	1	3	15.9	17.2	-1.34	12.7	14.7	-1.93
Andrei Kirilenko	57	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	1	3	15.7	17.5	-1.80	12.9	14.4	-1.47
Mark Jackson	41	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	17.2	15.9	1.34	14.7	12.7	1.93
Greg Ostertag	35	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	8	-11	17.5	15.9	1.63	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Calbert Cheaney	63	63	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	5	-5	17.7	14.1	3.54	14.5	11.6	2.91
Jarron Collins	51	50	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.23	-3	8	-11	16.9	15.9	1.01	14.4	12.6	1.76

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-5	5	12.7	13.6	-0.81	16.7	16.4	0.32
Keyon Dooling	35	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-1	-3	14.0	13.2	0.80	17.1	16.0	1.06
Sean Rooks	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	12.8	13.6	-0.79	18.5	16.2	2.35
Marko Jaric	62	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	14.7	11.3	3.41	17.5	14.5	2.97
Wang Zhi-zhi	7	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	13.7	13.5	0.20	14.6	16.6	-1.98
Michael Olowokandi	80	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-9	13	13.4	14.1	-0.64	16.5	16.2	0.29
Andre Miller	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-3	1	13.0	15.4	-2.37	16.2	17.1	-0.89
Quentin Richardson	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	12.5	14.2	-1.69	15.4	17.2	-1.73
Elton Brand	91	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	2	-9	13.7	9.7	3.94	16.3	19.2	-2.91
Eric Piatkowski	69	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	-1	-3	13.4	14.0	-0.60	16.0	17.8	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	92.1%
CHI 94, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.75,0.42,0	92.0%
POR 93, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.42,0	91.8%