NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	8.8 [127]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (ATL): +29.2%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	7.4 [83]		LVP	Dion Glover (ATL): -22.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	12	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.1	-0.08	0.17	-0.01	16	50%	0.24	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.05
Fred Hoiberg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	86%	0.10	3	-0.15	6	67%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	14	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.16
Marcus Fizer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	11	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.20	-0.00	5	92%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.01	18	66%	0.35	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Hanno Mottola	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	27%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	12	48%	0.01	4	-0.14	5	40%	-0.04
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	19%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	22	48%	-0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.2,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	8	50%	-0.07	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	30.0	16.0	23.1	1.7	36.5	133.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +11.8%

CHI +8.6%

CHI +14.1%

CHI +22.1%

ATL -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	16.6	15.6	104.4	100.0	102.3
season	15.6	15.5		96.3	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	15.2	13.2	16.5	15.3
ATL	17.9	18.4	16.1	14.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	60	60	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.53	15	-12	27	14.3	17.2	-2.97	17.7	14.3	3.39
Brad Miller	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.45	7	-4	11	14.3	20.6	-6.38	16.5	17.0	-0.53
Ron Mercer	71	72	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-2	7	14.6	17.6	-2.95	16.4	17.1	-0.69
Kevin Ollie	38	39	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	2	-1	17.4	13.7	3.66	14.9	17.8	-2.96
Trenton Hassell	17	15	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.20	2	1	1	13.0	15.8	-2.78	17.1	16.5	0.61
Greg Anthony	52	52	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	1	1	13.7	17.4	-3.66	17.8	14.9	2.96
Marcus Fizer	41	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	0	3	14.9	15.6	-0.65	16.5	16.6	-0.16
Eddie Robinson	28	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	18.3	13.9	4.40	15.4	17.1	-1.73
Eddy Curry	14	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	7	-11	20.6	14.3	6.38	17.0	16.5	0.53
Tyson Chandler	26	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	11	-19	16.4	14.8	1.64	16.6	16.6	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	27	26	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.06	-5	8	-13	16.8	14.6	2.17	15.5	17.0	-1.54

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Smith	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-5	7	18.9	16.1	2.88	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Hanno Mottola	7	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-1	-1	18.1	16.4	1.71	19.2	15.0	4.18
Nazr Mohammed	64	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-3	3	16.1	17.6	-1.41	15.4	14.9	0.47
Cal Bowdler	9	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	2	-7	17.7	16.4	1.23	18.0	15.0	3.01
Jason Terry	78	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-7	11	16.3	17.8	-1.50	15.0	17.2	-2.19
Mark Strickland	55	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-3	3	16.8	16.1	0.70	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Dion Glover	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-2	1	15.3	17.5	-2.18	16.3	14.5	1.86
DerMarr Johnson	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	2	-7	17.4	15.1	2.31	14.6	16.5	-1.89
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-2	1	16.4	18.1	-1.71	15.0	19.2	-4.18
Jacque Vaughn	46	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	4	-11	16.1	17.0	-0.87	16.2	14.4	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.75,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0	92.0%
DET 97, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.42,0	91.7%
POR 93, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.42,0	91.1%