NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	7.9 [234]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +28.7%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	5.2 [279]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (NJN): -13.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.23,0.29	0.09	0.20	-0.00	16	61%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Will Bynum	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	15	50%	0.16	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.09	0.01	-0.07	0.02	17	46%	-0.09	0	0.00	12	75%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	14	62%	0.24	3	-0.07	11	91%	0.06
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.06	0.01	9	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	8	45%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.1,0.1,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.05	0.00	16	67%	0.16	4	-0.14	8	62%	-0.04
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	10	55%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.04	-0.05	12	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.4	15.5	25.6	2.5	41.2	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.0%

NJN -9.7%

DET +32.0%

DET +10.7%

NJN -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.3	106.6	103.3	106.0
season	16.8	15.9		104.0	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.3	13.8	16.4	19.3	16.8
NJN	15.1	13.9	16.3	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	76	74	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.45	11	-7	18	16.6	17.7	-1.06	15.4	13.4	2.02
Tayshaun Prince	61	59	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.50	9	-5	14	17.8	14.7	3.10	15.6	13.9	1.77
Jason Maxiell	50	49	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.38	10	-6	16	16.6	17.0	-0.36	15.9	14.0	1.90
Ben Wallace	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	3	-2	17.8	13.4	4.36	15.2	14.4	0.75
Rodney Stuckey	75	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	4	-4	16.8	16.5	0.34	14.7	16.8	-2.12
Kwame Brown	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	2	0	12.2	17.7	-5.48	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Charlie Villanueva	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	14.9	17.2	-2.33	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Will Bynum	31	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	5	-6	17.1	16.6	0.43	14.9	15.1	-0.15
Ben Gordon	30	31	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.13	-3	7	-10	14.7	17.8	-3.10	13.9	15.6	-1.77
Jonas Jerebko	30	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	11	-18	18.1	16.1	1.92	13.8	15.6	-1.85

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	60	61	0.43	-0.93	1.37	0.20	8	-12	20	14.4	16.3	-1.85	17.0	16.4	0.57
Terrence Williams	36	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	15.4	14.8	0.64	15.5	17.7	-2.24
Chris Quinn	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-3	2	14.8	15.1	-0.24	13.7	17.6	-3.88
Chris Douglas-Roberts	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	15.1	15.0	0.15	13.8	17.6	-3.82
Courtney Lee	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-3	2	15.0	15.2	-0.26	18.2	14.1	4.07
Devin Harris	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	15.1	14.8	0.24	17.6	13.7	3.88
Jarvis Hayes	63	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	0	-4	14.9	15.4	-0.59	17.2	15.8	1.37
Brook Lopez	75	76	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	4	-12	15.1	14.9	0.20	16.9	16.4	0.46
Kris Humphries	45	45	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.55	-8	4	-12	15.8	14.3	1.53	16.4	17.2	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.75,0.42,0	91.7%
IND 110, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.71,0.73,0	90.8%
CLE 98, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	90.3%