NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	9.6 [86]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +27.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	4.1 [81]		LVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): -21.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.05,0.27	-0.04	0.30	-0.01	17	45%	0.27	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Darius Miles	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	19	52%	-0.05	1	-0.05	10	70%	-0.04
Tyrone Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	13	57%	0.06	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.24	0.24	0.01	0.23	-0.00	8	77%	0.38	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	11	61%	0.11	4	-0.08	6	50%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,-0.18	-0.18	0.01	-0.18	0.02	18	50%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.17	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	33.0	15.8	21.1	2.4	39.5	138.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -16.1%

CLE +15.0%

CLE +37.4%

CLE +4.6%

CLE +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.5	106.5	104.3	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		94.6	100.2
opponent	15.4	14.9		104.3	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	15.5	14.8	20.0	16.2
LAC	14.2	15.8	15.8	14.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	75	76	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-7	16	15.4	19.9	-4.53	15.4	13.4	1.96
Ricky Davis	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-2	6	16.4	15.4	1.05	15.2	14.4	0.74
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	3	-4	16.1	16.8	-0.75	15.4	14.0	1.37
Bimbo Coles	57	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	0	2	16.4	16.1	0.27	15.3	14.5	0.79
DeSagana Diop	10	10	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-5	12	16.1	16.3	-0.17	13.3	15.3	-1.97
Jumaine Jones	36	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	4	-6	17.4	15.5	1.87	13.4	16.1	-2.71
Milt Palacio	39	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	4	-6	16.6	16.0	0.68	14.0	15.7	-1.78
Tyrone Hill	78	78	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	5	-8	16.5	15.0	1.47	15.8	10.6	5.20
Michael Stewart	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	3	-4	16.2	16.3	-0.06	12.1	15.4	-3.31
Smush Parker	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	4	-6	0.0	16.4	-16.43	0.0	15.1	-15.05
Carlos Boozer	6	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	3	-4	16.5	16.2	0.27	17.2	14.9	2.27

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	14	15	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.13	4	-6	10	14.1	15.2	-1.16	20.6	15.4	5.20
Elton Brand	55	54	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-2	2	15.6	14.3	1.27	14.6	18.6	-3.97
Keyon Dooling	13	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	2	-6	17.2	14.7	2.44	12.8	16.9	-4.09
Quentin Richardson	71	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-6	10	15.0	15.4	-0.42	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Eric Piatkowski	39	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	1	-4	15.4	14.8	0.57	18.2	14.6	3.60
Sean Rooks	36	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.3	-0.68	18.9	14.4	4.51
Corey Maggette	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	2	-6	14.5	16.0	-1.52	14.8	18.8	-4.05
Marko Jaric	16	15	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-1	0	15.9	14.9	0.99	15.9	16.3	-0.46
Andre Miller	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-4	6	14.7	17.2	-2.44	16.9	12.8	4.09
Michael Olowokandi	78	77	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.57	-6	4	-10	15.2	14.1	1.16	15.4	20.6	-5.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, ATL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	92.6%
UTA 99, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0	92.1%
DEN 102, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,0	91.8%