NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	5.6 [715]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +30.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.2 [1024]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -23.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.3,0.3	0.16	0.13	-0.01	14	77%	0.39	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.03	0.02	16	63%	0.09	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	5	73%	0.05	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	14	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	9	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.10	3	-0.08	12	100%	0.06
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.00	-0.14	0.03	10	62%	-0.10	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.25,-0.26,-0.31,-0.26,-0.24,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.09	0.02	22	42%	-0.11	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	29.0	14.8	27.2	2.5	35.5	134.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +60.7%

DAL +2.2%

POR -5.6%

POR -3.1%

POR -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	17.2	15.4	119.8	112.9	104.5
season	16.3	16.7		108.7	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.2		108.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	19.2	16.9	15.6	16.5
POR	19.7	15.0	19.9	14.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	62	59	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-7	21	16.3	17.1	-0.83	16.2	19.3	-3.09
Jason Terry	59	61	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	15.8	18.1	-2.31	18.4	14.1	4.24
Devin Harris	58	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-5	17	16.9	15.7	1.25	16.5	18.5	-1.94
Dirk Nowitzki	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	17.0	14.4	2.56	17.2	17.1	0.05
Erick Dampier	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-2	11	16.4	16.7	-0.25	16.5	18.1	-1.64
DeSagana Diop	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	9	-11	17.8	15.7	2.05	18.7	16.2	2.54
Maurice Ager	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	5	-3	12.8	16.8	-3.95	20.0	17.0	3.01
Devean George	21	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	6	-5	13.5	17.5	-4.03	15.5	17.6	-2.11
Anthony Johnson	28	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	12	-17	15.7	16.9	-1.25	18.5	16.5	1.94
Greg Buckner	44	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.15	-13	20	-33	18.1	14.9	3.26	16.7	17.6	-0.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	46	47	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.25	17	-24	41	15.9	18.6	-2.73	17.9	14.8	3.07
Stephen Graham	25	25	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-10	13	16.3	17.5	-1.20	16.1	16.7	-0.62
Dan Dickau	18	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-4	1	18.3	16.9	1.41	16.7	16.5	0.23
Juan Dixon	61	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-17	27	16.2	19.6	-3.43	16.3	17.1	-0.78
LaMarcus Aldridge	36	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-10	13	15.6	18.3	-2.65	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Zach Randolph	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-5	3	16.8	18.4	-1.62	16.5	16.5	0.03
Jarrett Jack	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	16.9	18.3	-1.41	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Martell Webster	29	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	4	-15	18.1	16.7	1.37	18.4	15.5	2.88
Jamaal Magloire	33	31	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.09	-23	16	-39	21.4	14.5	6.86	16.2	16.7	-0.57
Ime Udoka	43	44	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.08	-25	18	-43	18.3	16.0	2.40	15.1	18.0	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.54,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.33,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.16,0,0	93.0%
NOH 89, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.15,0	92.8%
BOS 106, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.02,0	92.7%