NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	6.6 [482]		MVP	Stacey Augmon (CHH): +6.7%
Charlotte Hornets	97		Comeback	1.3 [481]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -20.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	19	59%	0.04	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	21	39%	0.00	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	20	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	5	58%	-0.01	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	7	33%	-0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	19	41%	-0.12	4	-0.08	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	29.4	15.4	29.3	1.8	37.0	142.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.7%

CHH -10.0%

BOS +27.4%

CHH -8.4%

BOS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHH	NBA	BOS	CHH	NBA
this game	15.2	14.7	15.6	108.2	102.1	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		100.9	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.5	15.8	13.4	18.3	15.2
CHH	14.2	14.8	16.7	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	83	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-10	29	15.1	15.5	-0.45	15.0	13.1	1.88
Antoine Walker	84	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-3	15	15.6	12.5	3.10	15.0	12.2	2.79
Kenny Anderson	75	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-1	11	15.4	14.2	1.22	15.1	13.3	1.80
Vitaly Potapenko	46	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	16.2	14.2	2.05	13.7	15.5	-1.74
Joe Johnson	52	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	1	7	13.9	16.6	-2.70	14.7	14.6	0.12
Tony Battie	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	3	3	14.4	15.6	-1.29	14.9	14.6	0.31
Erick Strickland	42	41	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	13	-17	16.2	14.4	1.86	13.1	15.9	-2.83
Milt Palacio	16	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	9	-9	12.1	15.7	-3.62	13.7	14.9	-1.13
Mark Blount	14	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	13	-17	13.8	15.4	-1.60	18.7	14.1	4.56

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	9	10	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-14	19	11.1	15.1	-3.95	15.4	15.1	0.27
Jamaal Magloire	29	30	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	15.3	14.4	0.95	12.2	16.4	-4.21
Robert Traylor	26	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	15.8	14.2	1.60	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Matt Bullard	23	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	15.4	14.4	0.99	13.5	15.8	-2.26
Stacey Augmon	58	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-18	27	15.4	13.5	1.96	15.8	14.1	1.74
Elden Campbell	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	3	-15	14.3	15.4	-1.18	16.5	12.7	3.84
Lee Nailon	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	5	-19	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.5	16.0	-1.54
P.J. Brown	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	3	-15	14.3	15.7	-1.39	15.6	14.1	1.51
David Wesley	77	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	5	-19	14.4	15.7	-1.28	15.0	15.9	-0.94
Baron Davis	66	68	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.26	-14	5	-19	14.5	15.2	-0.75	15.8	13.8	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.26,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.21,0.01,0.01,0	93.2%
DAL 103, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.54,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.33,0,0	92.7%
WAS 104, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.02,0	92.7%