NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	6.8 [456]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +33.5%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	1.3 [1149]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -32.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.21	0.12	-0.01	14	82%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.13	-0.03	9	55%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	69%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	26	45%	-0.09	2	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	16	40%	-0.15	4	-0.18	8	50%	-0.11

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.09	-0.00	18	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Terence Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.03	12	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	15	51%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Moochie Norris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	16	42%	0.04	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	28.2	19.6	24.6	2.6	38.2	139.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.9%

HOU -8.0%

LAL +21.8%

HOU -4.6%

HOU -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	16.9	15.6	117.6	109.8	102.3
season	15.3	16.8		106.9	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		106.4	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	14.9	14.1	14.9	14.5
HOU	21.0	17.1	16.5	13.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	70	71	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.20	27	-21	48	14.9	13.4	1.52	18.3	12.3	5.93
Derek Fisher	63	63	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.31	17	-11	28	14.7	14.2	0.48	16.7	17.3	-0.63
Kobe Bryant	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	1	4	14.6	14.4	0.12	16.3	21.7	-5.37
Rick Fox	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-3	12	15.1	14.1	1.04	16.8	17.0	-0.28
Devean George	50	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	9	-12	14.1	15.1	-1.04	17.0	16.8	0.28
Samaki Walker	45	45	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	2	2	15.1	14.0	1.02	17.2	16.6	0.56
Robert Horry	56	57	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.28	-9	15	-24	14.2	15.2	-1.01	16.4	17.8	-1.39
Mark Madsen	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	3.3	14.9	-11.60	4.3	17.3	-13.00
Mitch Richmond	12	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	7	-8	14.1	14.6	-0.54	18.6	16.6	1.98
Slava Medvedenko	8	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	14	-22	15.5	14.5	1.04	11.7	17.4	-5.65
Lindsey Hunter	25	26	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.00	-9	15	-24	14.4	14.6	-0.26	18.4	16.3	2.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oscar Torres	70	66	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-11	16	16.8	17.4	-0.59	13.6	17.1	-3.49
Tierre Brown	30	28	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-9	12	15.0	17.9	-2.89	13.1	15.2	-2.03
Terence Morris	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-5	4	16.2	17.0	-0.75	14.4	14.6	-0.16
Kevin Willis	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-8	10	17.5	16.5	0.97	15.2	14.1	1.06
Walt Williams	73	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-10	14	16.4	18.9	-2.56	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Moochie Norris	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	17.9	15.0	2.89	15.2	13.1	2.03
Kelvin Cato	45	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.03	-18	12	-30	17.9	16.0	1.91	14.9	14.2	0.63
Cuttino Mobley	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	17.0	16.8	0.12	15.0	13.6	1.41
Eddie Griffin	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	2	-10	16.7	17.9	-1.22	14.6	14.3	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.26,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.21,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 115, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.29,0.02,0,0	93.3%
BOS 106, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.02,0	93.2%
WAS 108, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.21,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.06,0.02,0	92.9%