NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	6.6 [466]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (WAS): +18.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	104		Comeback	1.3 [393]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -23.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.01	12	81%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	10	71%	0.15	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	8	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Brendan Haywood	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.01	4	54%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.23	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.23,-0.22,-0.23	-0.13	-0.14	-0.04	24	40%	-0.16	2	-0.08	9	78%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	11	48%	-0.02	2	-0.04	9	56%	-0.05
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.02	13	61%	-0.06	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.7	15.6	26.6	2.6	38.0	136.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +49.8%

WAS +2.1%

WAS +6.8%

LAC -10.2%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	17.8	14.2	15.5	120.0	115.6	101.6
season	16.5	15.4		100.9	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.0	17.0	17.8	19.2	17.8
LAC	15.8	14.3	14.9	12.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	72	73	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.30	17	-13	30	17.7	17.8	-0.10	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Michael Jordan	72	71	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-6	16	18.1	16.5	1.57	14.7	12.6	2.11
Bryon Russell	67	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-6	16	16.9	20.2	-3.31	14.6	13.1	1.50
Tyronn Lue	80	80	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	17.6	18.7	-1.06	14.4	13.0	1.40
Charles Oakley	18	17	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-4	12	16.1	18.2	-2.06	14.4	14.2	0.13
Brendan Haywood	64	64	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	6	-8	18.6	15.7	2.96	14.9	12.6	2.29
Juan Dixon	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	16.0	18.0	-2.03	11.9	14.6	-2.69
Bobby Simmons	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	29.0	17.6	11.37	16.0	14.2	1.78
Larry Hughes	42	43	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.17	-14	18	-32	18.6	17.0	1.53	12.7	15.7	-3.05
Kwame Brown	22	22	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	15	-26	17.5	17.8	-0.28	13.6	14.4	-0.80

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	36	35	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.20	15	-19	34	13.5	14.7	-1.24	18.5	17.3	1.19
Keyon Dooling	19	19	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-11	18	14.5	14.2	0.36	16.9	18.0	-1.02
Chris Wilcox	11	12	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-8	12	13.7	14.3	-0.59	18.7	17.6	1.05
Melvin Ely	26	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-1	-2	14.1	14.3	-0.18	15.7	18.5	-2.79
Quentin Richardson	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.47	10	-14	24	13.3	15.8	-2.54	17.3	18.5	-1.20
Sean Rooks	31	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	8	-20	16.0	13.3	2.73	18.2	17.5	0.72
Lamar Odom	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	14.4	13.9	0.45	18.1	17.0	1.03
Elton Brand	71	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	5	-14	14.5	13.3	1.18	18.3	15.4	2.89
Andre Miller	71	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	7	-18	14.2	14.5	-0.36	18.0	16.9	1.02
Corey Maggette	65	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.21	-17	13	-30	14.4	13.9	0.45	17.2	19.2	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.21,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.26,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.21,0.01,0.01,0	92.9%
PHI 115, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.09,0.02,0	92.6%
BOS 106, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.02,0	92.4%