NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	7.4 [394]		MVP	Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (PHI): +13.8%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	1.0 [416]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -18.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.03	7	81%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Joel Embiid	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	73%	0.25	3	-0.15	6	67%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	15	62%	0.22	5	-0.13	9	44%	-0.05
T.J. McConnell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	79%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.07	0.04	18	62%	0.23	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.08
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	54%	0.04	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.04
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	6	63%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.05
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	12	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	21	54%	0.04	7	-0.22	12	83%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	1.8	25.4	13.7	29.3	1.7	37.8	138.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +80.8%

HOU -24.1%

PHI +14.9%

HOU -19.6%

HOU -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	14.7	112.7	101.9	107.5
season	13.9	14.6		108.1	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.4	15.3	14.3	15.6	14.3
HOU	13.4	13.5	14.5	12.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	52	57	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-9	26	13.9	14.7	-0.78	14.1	12.8	1.37
Jerryd Bayless	85	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-6	20	14.2	14.7	-0.46	13.6	12.8	0.82
Ben Simmons	83	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	14.0	15.8	-1.80	14.0	11.6	2.36
Robert Covington	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	13.8	15.8	-2.06	13.6	13.4	0.14
T.J. McConnell	54	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	4	0	14.5	14.1	0.34	12.7	14.5	-1.77
Dario Saric	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	6	-4	14.6	13.8	0.84	13.6	13.3	0.31
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	8	-8	13.9	14.6	-0.67	12.7	13.9	-1.21
Amir Johnson	45	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	14	-20	15.4	13.5	1.89	13.0	13.9	-0.81
Justin Anderson	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	14	-20	16.9	13.9	3.02	13.4	13.5	-0.10

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	80	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-12	16	13.5	13.4	0.15	14.5	13.6	0.91
Nene	25	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	1	-10	12.9	13.7	-0.83	13.7	14.5	-0.77
Clint Capela	66	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-14	20	13.4	13.7	-0.28	15.2	12.7	2.52
Luc Mbah a Moute	46	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	13.5	13.6	-0.10	14.5	14.2	0.23
Trevor Ariza	80	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-8	8	13.7	12.9	0.78	14.4	14.1	0.25
PJ Tucker	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	13.5	13.5	0.08	14.3	14.3	0.07
Ryan Anderson	78	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	6	-20	13.6	13.3	0.29	13.6	16.2	-2.56
James Harden	84	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	4	-16	13.5	13.5	-0.01	14.0	15.4	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.02,0	92.7%
WAS 108, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.21,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.06,0.02,0	92.6%
NJN 116, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.02,0	92.5%