NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	104		Excitement	6.1 [559]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +12.9%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.4 [408]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -19.0%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.02	8	81%	0.15	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Harvey Grant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	69%	0.11	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	13	55%	0.08	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	61%	0.09	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Legler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.08	0.02	6	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	17	65%	0.11	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	69%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	13	43%	-0.08	2	-0.05	9	11%	-0.13
Rik Smits	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	20	47%	-0.09	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	27.0	16.6	25.5	1.7	40.4	138.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +37.2%

WAS +10.7%

WAS +2.7%

IND -2.3%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.6	116.9	111.1	104.4
season	14.8	15.3		104.3	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.8		101.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.4	19.9	18.4	14.1	15.9
IND	15.7	17.9	15.9	15.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-7	18	15.6	17.5	-1.83	16.3	16.3	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	74	73	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-7	18	14.9	20.6	-5.65	16.0	17.6	-1.69
Juwan Howard	77	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	-2	8	15.5	18.2	-2.62	16.1	17.5	-1.34
Rod Strickland	76	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	0	4	14.7	22.7	-7.96	16.2	16.9	-0.77
Harvey Grant	39	39	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	-1	6	14.5	17.0	-2.51	15.4	17.0	-1.58
Gheorghe Muresan	27	29	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	6	-8	19.0	14.6	4.40	17.9	15.5	2.39
Chris Whitney	16	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	4	-4	18.7	15.3	3.48	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Jaren Jackson	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	9	-14	15.8	15.9	-0.11	16.3	16.3	-0.01
Tracy Murray	43	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	11	-18	16.5	15.3	1.23	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Tim Legler	9	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	10	-16	24.7	14.9	9.75	19.5	15.9	3.62

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	26	24	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-9	14	16.9	16.0	0.85	17.2	15.4	1.85
Travis Best	38	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.30	9	-13	22	16.6	16.0	0.57	17.2	15.0	2.18
Duane Ferrell	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.06	-3	-1	-2	13.7	17.0	-3.29	12.4	16.9	-4.49
Rik Smits	64	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-5	6	17.4	13.6	3.74	17.4	12.0	5.48
Dale Davis	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	3	-10	16.3	16.3	-0.03	15.7	17.2	-1.47
Reggie Miller	86	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	16.4	13.0	3.43	16.1	11.2	4.87
Mark Jackson	71	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	3	-10	15.8	18.0	-2.18	14.9	20.3	-5.38
Antonio Davis	69	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.20	-13	9	-22	15.9	17.6	-1.75	15.3	17.9	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 106, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0	94.3%
MIN 102, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0	93.9%
DEN 115, NOP 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.09,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.17,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.7%