NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	5.5 [679]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +22.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	95		Comeback	1.1 [539]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -23.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.08	-0.01	12	74%	0.30	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Erick Dampier	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	21	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	19	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	78%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.02	16	54%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.05
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	17	51%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	0.03	13	55%	-0.03	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.19	0.02	23	46%	-0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.8	29.1	15.7	23.1	2.5	33.5	134.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.6%

CHA -7.9%

CHA -2.5%

DAL +2.4%

DAL +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.4	113.3	108.0	105.7
season	16.1	15.8		108.9	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.4		107.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	17.2	16.9	15.7	16.6
CHA	16.2	14.8	15.9	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	70	70	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-9	25	16.5	16.7	-0.19	16.0	15.2	0.79
DeSagana Diop	52	48	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	16.1	17.2	-1.04	14.7	17.1	-2.48
Devin Harris	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	2	3	16.9	15.5	1.39	15.8	15.7	0.17
Dirk Nowitzki	76	74	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	4	-1	16.9	14.6	2.35	15.9	15.1	0.78
Jason Terry	54	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	7	-7	16.6	16.6	0.00	15.1	16.7	-1.62
Jose Juan Barea	6	5	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	6	-5	14.2	16.7	-2.56	13.8	15.9	-2.12
Jerry Stackhouse	14	14	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	3	1	13.6	17.1	-3.45	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Eddie Jones	45	45	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	5	-3	17.2	16.0	1.20	16.9	14.6	2.33
Juwan Howard	13	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	3	1	14.0	17.0	-2.99	14.3	16.0	-1.74
Trenton Hassell	23	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	14	-21	16.4	16.6	-0.16	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Erick Dampier	30	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	13	-19	17.8	15.9	1.92	17.8	14.6	3.14

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	-4	1	15.3	15.9	-0.56	12.7	17.1	-4.36
Jeff McInnis	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-7	7	15.8	15.8	-0.03	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Nazr Mohammed	45	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-6	5	17.2	14.3	2.97	18.0	15.0	3.01
Emeka Okafor	70	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-6	5	15.9	15.4	0.44	16.7	15.9	0.77
Matt Carroll	35	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	5	-17	13.9	17.1	-3.22	15.4	17.3	-1.94
Jason Richardson	77	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	15.9	15.1	0.81	17.1	12.7	4.36
Raymond Felton	79	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	0	-7	15.7	16.4	-0.72	16.6	16.0	0.62
Gerald Wallace	88	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.8	0.0	15.80	16.6	0.0	16.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.16,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	93.8%
TOR 101, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	93.7%
HOU 108, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.1%