NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	3.1 [1184]		MVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): +8.0%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.1 [1119]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (POR): -9.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ha Seung-Jin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	86%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	12	73%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Viktor Khryapa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.01	-0.10	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.05	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	14	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	27.3	16.7	26.2	2.6	28.0	125.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +13.9%

GSW +0.2%

GSW +14.7%

GSW +18.7%

GSW +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.6	87.8	104.5	104.4
season	16.6	14.8		99.4	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	15.1	15.2	14.6	15.6
GSW	15.3	17.6	16.9	16.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-13	12	15.9	15.4	0.55	16.4	16.7	-0.31
Sebastian Telfair	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-18	22	15.2	16.0	-0.84	16.5	16.8	-0.31
Juan Dixon	22	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-2	-10	17.4	15.0	2.38	17.2	16.4	0.82
Theo Ratliff	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-8	2	15.2	16.0	-0.75	16.8	16.4	0.37
Viktor Khryapa	55	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-6	-2	16.0	14.9	1.02	16.9	16.1	0.87
Voshon Lenard	40	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	0	-14	16.4	14.9	1.50	17.0	16.3	0.68
Martell Webster	59	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-11	8	15.0	16.6	-1.65	16.1	17.6	-1.50
Brian Skinner	22	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	2	-18	14.7	15.8	-1.11	16.1	16.8	-0.67
Jarrett Jack	52	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	15.5	15.6	-0.07	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	68	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-9	4	15.3	16.4	-1.05	16.6	16.7	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.10	17	-3	20	16.3	17.0	-0.65	16.2	14.9	1.31
Mike Dunleavy	62	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	2	10	16.3	17.3	-0.92	16.5	13.4	3.07
Adonal Foyle	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	3	8	16.5	16.7	-0.15	15.9	15.3	0.64
Troy Murphy	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	2	10	16.2	17.1	-0.89	15.9	15.1	0.82
Monta Ellis	48	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	7	0	17.1	16.0	1.10	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Jason Richardson	46	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	8	-2	15.9	17.4	-1.55	15.7	15.4	0.31
Ike Diogu	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	9	-4	17.1	16.2	0.90	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Andris Biedrins	46	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	7	0	16.5	16.7	-0.20	15.1	16.1	-1.04
Will Bynum	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	16	-18	17.3	16.2	1.15	14.9	16.0	-1.04
Calbert Cheaney	32	32	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	19	-24	17.4	16.2	1.23	13.9	16.5	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 76, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIN 80, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
WAS 80, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%